Wales Vs Denmark
Wales Vs Denmark Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

7:45 PM
Oct 4th
DenmarkWales: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Denmark: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Denmark
Wales
Wales
Denmark
Last Matches (Wales)
Wales
Denmark
Portugal
Romania
Wales
Wales
Wales
Liechtenstein
Wales
England
Last Matches (Denmark)
Wales
Denmark
Denmark
Norway
Denmark
Congo DR
Denmark
Scotland
Denmark
Denmark
League Table
Northern Ireland
Hungary
Ukraine
GeorgiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.1
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 95.7% | 4.3% |
| 1.5 goals | 82.2% | 17.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 60.9% | 39.1% |
| 3.5 goals | 38.6% | 61.4% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
1X
58.6%
12
76.4%
X2
65%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
1 / 1
20.7%
1 / X
5.4%
1 / 2
2.9%
X / 1
11.7%
X / X
12.8%
X / 2
13.5%
2 / 1
2.5%
2 / X
5.4%
2 / 2
25.1%
Home -1
13.6%
odds 7.00
Away -1
86.4%
odds 1.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
55.7%
odds 1.67
Under 8.5
44.3%
odds 2.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Under 3.5
50%
odds 1.83
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Denmark
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Denmark and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.1
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Wales
Denmark
Average Event Minute
Wales
Denmark
Season Statistics
| Wales | Denmark | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LLW | LWL |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.7 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 |
| Biggest win streak | 0 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 2 matches.
Wales
Denmark
Trends
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Wales have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
4 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Denmark have scored in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Wales
H · 4 Oct
Denmark
UnratedA · 14 Nov
Norway
UnratedH · 17 Nov
Portugal
UnratedDenmark
A · 14 Nov
Portugal
UnratedH · 17 Nov
Norway
UnratedWales vs Denmark Prediction & Tips
Wales takes on Denmark in the World UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Wales have won 1 and drawn 0 of their 3 league games this season, while Denmark have 1 wins and 0 draws from 3.
Our model favours Denmark as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.1, with both teams to score rated at 62.8%. The published tip for this match is Over 1.5 at a 83% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
Wales vs Denmark FAQs
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Match Preview
Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Cardiff City Stadium,