VictorsPredict

Wales Vs Denmark

Wales Vs Denmark Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

UEFA Nations League

Wales

7:45 PM

Oct 4th

Denmark
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 1.5 1.21
83%

Wales: Matches Played 10

LLW
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Denmark: Matches Played 10

LWL
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 3.60
45% 3.30
45% 1.91

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
27 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Denmark
2 0
Wales
26 June 2021 • Euro Championship
L
Wales
0 4
Denmark
16 November 2018 • UEFA Nations League
L
Wales
1 2
Denmark
9 September 2018 • UEFA Nations League
L
Denmark
2 0
Wales
Last Matches (Wales)
1 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Wales
2 1
Norway
27 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Denmark
2 0
Wales
24 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Portugal
1 0
Wales
6 June 2026 • Friendlies
L
Romania
2 1
Wales
2 June 2026 • Friendlies
D
Wales
1 1
Ghana
31 March 2026 • Friendlies
D
Wales
1 1
Northern Ireland
18 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Wales
7 1
FYR Macedonia
15 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Liechtenstein
0 1
Wales
13 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
L
Wales
2 4
Belgium
9 October 2025 • Friendlies
L
England
3 0
Wales
Last Matches (Denmark)
4 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Wales
0 1
Denmark
1 October 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Denmark
2 4
Portugal
27 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
W
Denmark
2 0
Wales
24 September 2026 • UEFA Nations League
L
Norway
3 2
Denmark
7 June 2026 • Friendlies
W
Denmark
2 1
Ukraine
3 June 2026 • Friendlies
D
Congo DR
0 0
Denmark
26 March 2026 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Denmark
4 0
FYR Macedonia
18 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
L
Scotland
4 2
Denmark
15 November 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
D
Denmark
2 2
Belarus
12 October 2025 • World Cup - Qualification Europe
W
Denmark
3 1
Greece

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Northern Ireland
4 2 2 0 4-0 4 8
DWDW
2
Hungary
4 2 1 1 3-2 1 7
WWDL
3
Ukraine
4 1 1 2 2-5 -3 4
LLDW
4
Georgia
4 0 2 2 0-2 -2 2
DLDL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.1

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals95.7%4.3%
1.5 goals82.2%17.8%
2.5 goals60.9%39.1%
3.5 goals38.6%61.4%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Denmark

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Denmark and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 3.1

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 25% / 75%
Defence 64% / 36%
Poisson 77% / 23%
Head-to-head 0% / 100%
Goals 9% / 91%
Overall 45% / 55%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Wales 5/6
Denmark 4/6

Over 2.5

Wales 2/6
Denmark 3/6

Over 3.5

Wales 0/6
Denmark 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Wales 4/6
Denmark 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Wales

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76+

Denmark

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Wales

First goal scored: — First goal conceded: — First card: —

Denmark

First goal scored: 75' First goal conceded: — First card: 90'

Season Statistics

WalesDenmark
Form
LLW
LWL
Played33
Wins11
Draws00
Losses22
Goals for (avg)0.72
Goals against (avg)1.32.3
Clean sheets01
Failed to score20
Biggest win streak01

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 2 matches.

Wales

Denmark

Total shots 12.5
Blocked 3
64% off target 36% on target
60% inside box 40% outside box
Total passes 483.5
Accurate passes 416
Possession 49%

Trends

3 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Wales have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.

4 match streak · UEFA Nations League

Denmark have scored in each of their last 4 matches in UEFA Nations League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Wales

H · 4 Oct

Denmark

Unrated

A · 14 Nov

Norway

Unrated

H · 17 Nov

Portugal

Unrated

Denmark

A · 14 Nov

Portugal

Unrated

H · 17 Nov

Norway

Unrated

Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Tips

Wales takes on Denmark in the World UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Wales have won 1 and drawn 0 of their 3 league games this season, while Denmark have 1 wins and 0 draws from 3.

Our model favours Denmark as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.1, with both teams to score rated at 62.8%. The published tip for this match is Over 1.5 at a 83% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Wales vs Denmark FAQs

When is the match between Wales and Denmark? +
The match between Wales and Denmark is scheduled for Sun, 4th Oct 2026 at 7:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
World UEFA Nations League
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Wales vs Denmark Prediction & Match Preview

League: World : UEFA Nations League

Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026

Venue: Cardiff City Stadium,