VictorsPredict

FS Jelgava Vs BFC Daugavpils

FS Jelgava Vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Virsliga

FS Jelgava

0 : 1 FT

Oct 25th

BFC Daugavpils
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.35
WON

FS Jelgava: Matches Played 10

LDLLL
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

7 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

BFC Daugavpils: Matches Played 10

DLDWW
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
0% 4.40
50% 3.75
50% 1.62

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
1 August 2026 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
2 1
FS Jelgava
31 May 2026 • Virsliga
D
FS Jelgava
1 1
BFC Daugavpils
16 April 2026 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
1 0
FS Jelgava
18 October 2025 • Virsliga
D
FS Jelgava
0 0
BFC Daugavpils
27 July 2025 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
2 0
FS Jelgava
25 May 2025 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
1 0
FS Jelgava
10 April 2025 • Virsliga
W
FS Jelgava
4 1
BFC Daugavpils
1 September 2024 • Virsliga
D
FS Jelgava
0 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 June 2024 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
3 0
FS Jelgava
3 May 2024 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
1 0
FS Jelgava
Last Matches (FS Jelgava)
19 September 2026 • Virsliga
L
FS Jelgava
0 1
Riga
12 September 2026 • Virsliga
D
Grobiņa
0 0
FS Jelgava
5 September 2026 • Virsliga
L
FS Jelgava
0 1
Super Nova
29 August 2026 • Virsliga
W
Tukums
1 4
FS Jelgava
22 August 2026 • Virsliga
W
Ogre United
2 3
FS Jelgava
9 August 2026 • Virsliga
L
FS Jelgava
0 1
Auda
1 August 2026 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
2 1
FS Jelgava
26 July 2026 • Virsliga
L
FS Jelgava
0 2
FK Liepaja
20 July 2026 • Virsliga
L
FS Jelgava
0 1
Rīgas FS
12 July 2026 • Cup
L
Rīgas FS
2 0
FS Jelgava
Last Matches (BFC Daugavpils)
25 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
FS Jelgava
0 1
BFC Daugavpils
19 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
BFC Daugavpils
2 1
Auda
11 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
Ogre United
1 2
BFC Daugavpils
19 September 2026 • Virsliga
D
FK Liepaja
0 0
BFC Daugavpils
13 September 2026 • Virsliga
L
BFC Daugavpils
1 2
Rīgas FS
7 September 2026 • Virsliga
D
Riga
1 1
BFC Daugavpils
29 August 2026 • Virsliga
L
Grobiņa
1 0
BFC Daugavpils
22 August 2026 • Virsliga
D
Super Nova
0 0
BFC Daugavpils
14 August 2026 • Cup
W
BFC Daugavpils
3 1
Ogre United
8 August 2026 • Virsliga
W
BFC Daugavpils
2 0
Tukums

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Rīgas FS
34 27 5 2 84-24 60 86
WWWWD
2
Riga
34 25 7 2 95-33 62 82
WWWWW
3
Auda
34 20 7 7 57-35 22 67
WLWDW
4
BFC Daugavpils
34 13 9 12 40-37 3 48
WWWDL
5
FK Liepaja
34 13 8 13 46-46 0 47
DWLDD
6
Super Nova
34 11 5 18 32-50 -18 38
LLLWL
7
FS Jelgava
34 8 8 18 34-57 -23 32
LLLLD
8
Grobiņa
34 6 11 17 27-61 -34 29
LWLDD
9
Tukums
34 5 10 19 44-65 -21 25
DLLDL
10
Ogre United
34 4 6 24 34-85 -51 18
LLLWL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals91.8%8.2%
1.5 goals71.3%28.7%
2.5 goals45.6%54.4%
3.5 goals24.2%75.8%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: BFC Daugavpils

Advice: Double chance : draw or BFC Daugavpils

Expected goals: 2.5

Form 11% / 89%
Attack 25% / 75%
Defence 36% / 64%
Poisson 32% / 68%
Head-to-head 15% / 85%
Goals 25% / 75%
Overall 24% / 76%

Match Centre

1.32 expected_goals 1.8
369 Passes accurate 284
9 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Blocked Shots 1
13 Free Kicks 7
7 Shots on Goal 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
5 Shots off Goal 5
486 Total passes 385
13 Total Shots 12
3 Corner Kicks 8
0 Offsides 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
7 Fouls 13
0 Red Cards 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
24' 🟨 Away
43' 🟨 Away
45' 🟨 Away
78' ⚽ Away
81' 🔁 Home
87' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

FS Jelgava 2/6
BFC Daugavpils 4/6

Over 2.5

FS Jelgava 2/6
BFC Daugavpils 3/6

Over 3.5

FS Jelgava 2/6
BFC Daugavpils 0/6

BTTS (Yes)

FS Jelgava 2/6
BFC Daugavpils 4/6

Goals By Time Period

FS Jelgava

2
0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

BFC Daugavpils

1
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
3
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

FS Jelgava

First goal scored: 5' First goal conceded: 40' First card: 56'

BFC Daugavpils

First goal scored: 34' First goal conceded: 62' First card: 37'

Season Statistics

FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
Form
WDLLLDLLWLWDDLDDDLWWWLLLLLWWLDLLL
LLLWWWWDLDLLLWLDDDWDLWWLWWDLDLDWW
Played3333
Wins812
Draws89
Losses1712
Goals for (avg)11.2
Goals against (avg)1.71.1
Clean sheets59
Failed to score1610
Biggest win streak34

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

FS Jelgava

BFC Daugavpils

Total shots 9.8
Blocked 1.6
47% off target 53% on target
67% inside box 33% outside box
Total passes 367.2
Accurate passes 268 (16%)
Possession 46%

Trends

4 match streak · Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in Virsliga.

3 match streak · Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils have won 3 consecutive matches in Virsliga.

3 match streak · Virsliga

BFC Daugavpils have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Virsliga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

FS Jelgava

A · 11 Oct

Rīgas FS

5/5

A · 18 Oct

FK Liepaja

3/5

H · 25 Oct

BFC Daugavpils

4/5

A · 1 Nov

Auda

4/5

H · 8 Nov

Ogre United

1/5

BFC Daugavpils

H · 1 Nov

Tukums

1/5

A · 8 Nov

Super Nova

3/5

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Tips

FS Jelgava took on BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia Virsliga. FS Jelgava had won 8 and drawn 8 of their 33 league games this season, while BFC Daugavpils have 12 wins and 9 draws from 33.

Our model favoured BFC Daugavpils as the more likely side (0% home, 50% draw, 50% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 49.8%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils FAQs

When did the match between FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils take place? +
The match between FS Jelgava and BFC Daugavpils took place on Sun, 25th Oct 2026 at 1:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Latvia Virsliga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
FS Jelgava are 7th on the table, while BFC Daugavpils are 4th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction & Match Preview

League: Latvia : Virsliga

Date: Sun, Oct 25th 2026

Venue: Olympic Sports Center of Zemgale,