Netherlands Vs Serbia
Netherlands Vs Serbia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

7:45 PM
Oct 4th
SerbiaNetherlands: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
1 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Serbia: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Serbia
Last Matches (Netherlands)
Greece
Serbia
Netherlands
Tunisia
Netherlands
Netherlands
Netherlands
Netherlands
Netherlands
Netherlands
Last Matches (Serbia)
Germany
Serbia
Serbia
Mexico
Cape Verde Islands
Serbia
Spain
Serbia
England
Andorra
League Table
Northern Ireland
Hungary
Ukraine
GeorgiaTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.9
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| 1.5 goals | 77.7% | 22.3% |
| 2.5 goals | 54.2% | 45.8% |
| 3.5 goals | 31.9% | 68.1% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
1X
79.9%
12
77.4%
X2
42.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
1 / 1
36.3%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
1.3%
X / 1
18.1%
X / X
13.4%
X / 2
7.6%
2 / 1
2.9%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
11.1%
Home -1.25
68.5%
odds 1.38
Away -1.25
31.5%
odds 3.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
55.7%
odds 1.67
Under 8.5
44.3%
odds 2.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
42.4%
odds 2.20
Under 3.5
57.6%
odds 1.62
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Netherlands
Advice: Double chance : Netherlands or draw
Expected goals: 2.9
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Season Statistics
| Netherlands | Serbia | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | DWD | LLL |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 0 |
Trends
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Netherlands have scored in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Netherlands have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Both teams have scored in each of Netherlands's last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Serbia have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Netherlands
H · 13 Nov
Greece
UnratedA · 16 Nov
Germany
UnratedSerbia
A · 4 Oct
Netherlands
UnratedH · 13 Nov
Germany
UnratedA · 16 Nov
Greece
UnratedNetherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Tips
Netherlands takes on Serbia in the World UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026. Netherlands have won 1 and drawn 2 of their 3 league games this season, while Serbia have 0 wins and 0 draws from 3.
Our model favours Netherlands as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.9, with both teams to score rated at 53.3%. The published tip for this match is Over 2.5 at a 74% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
Netherlands vs Serbia FAQs
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Match Preview
Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Sun, Oct 4th 2026
Venue: Philips Stadion,