VictorsPredict

Al-Gharafa Vs Al Ahli Doha

Al-Gharafa Vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Stars League

Al-Gharafa

2 : 2 FT

Oct 22nd

Al Ahli Doha
Prediction Odds Confidence
BTS 1.39
WON

Al-Gharafa: Matches Played 10

LLDLD
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Al Ahli Doha: Matches Played 10

DWLWL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
35% 1.95
35% 3.60
30% 3.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
18 March 2026 • Stars League
L
Al-Gharafa
1 4
Al Ahli Doha
25 October 2025 • Stars League
W
Al Ahli Doha
1 3
Al-Gharafa
22 January 2025 • Stars League
W
Al-Gharafa
2 0
Al Ahli Doha
18 August 2024 • Stars League
L
Al Ahli Doha
1 0
Al-Gharafa
8 May 2024 • Emir Cup
W
Al-Gharafa
4 3
Al Ahli Doha
24 February 2024 • Stars League
L
Al-Gharafa
1 2
Al Ahli Doha
1 September 2023 • Stars League
W
Al Ahli Doha
1 4
Al-Gharafa
3 March 2023 • Stars League
D
Al-Gharafa
1 1
Al Ahli Doha
31 August 2022 • Stars League
D
Al Ahli Doha
3 3
Al-Gharafa
Last Matches (Al-Gharafa)
30 October 2026 • Stars League
W
Al-Gharafa
2 0
Qatar SC
26 October 2026 • AFC Champions League Elite
L
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 1
Al-Gharafa
22 October 2026 • Stars League
D
Al-Gharafa
2 2
Al Ahli Doha
18 October 2026 • Stars League
D
Al-Gharafa
0 0
Al-Rayyan SC
12 October 2026 • AFC Champions League Elite
L
Al-Gharafa
1 2
Esteghlal FC
8 October 2026 • Stars League
L
Al Wakrah
3 2
Al-Gharafa
1 October 2026 • QSL Cup
W
Al-Gharafa
4 2
Al Mesaimeer
15 September 2026 • AFC Champions League Elite
L
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 1
Al-Gharafa
11 September 2026 • Stars League
D
Al-Gharafa
0 0
Lusail City
5 September 2026 • Stars League
L
Al Sadd
4 1
Al-Gharafa
Last Matches (Al Ahli Doha)
30 October 2026 • Stars League
W
Al Shahaniya
1 2
Al Ahli Doha
22 October 2026 • Stars League
D
Al-Gharafa
2 2
Al Ahli Doha
16 October 2026 • Stars League
L
Al Ahli Doha
0 3
Al Wakrah
10 October 2026 • Stars League
W
Al Ahli Doha
5 0
Al-Sailiya
29 September 2026 • QSL Cup
D
Al-Markhiya
1 1
Al Ahli Doha
20 September 2026 • QSL Cup
L
Al Ahli Doha
0 1
Al Shahaniya
11 September 2026 • Stars League
L
Al-Rayyan SC
3 0
Al Ahli Doha
3 September 2026 • Stars League
W
Al Ahli Doha
1 0
Qatar SC
28 August 2026 • Stars League
D
Al Ahli Doha
3 3
Lusail City
22 August 2026 • Stars League
L
Al Sadd
3 1
Al Ahli Doha

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Al Sadd
8 6 0 2 31-14 17 18
WWLLW
2
Al-Rayyan SC
7 5 2 0 16-3 13 17
WDWWD
3
Al-Duhail SC
7 4 3 0 15-6 9 15
WWWDD
4
Al-Arabi SC
7 3 3 1 16-8 8 12
LWWDW
5
Al Wakrah
7 3 2 2 13-13 0 11
WWWDL
6
Al Ahli Doha
8 3 2 3 14-15 -1 11
WDLWL
7
Al-Gharafa
8 2 3 3 10-13 -3 9
WDDLD
8
Al Shamal
8 2 3 3 13-17 -4 9
LLDLD
9
Al Shahaniya
8 2 1 5 9-21 -12 7
LLLWD
10
Lusail City
7 1 3 3 8-8 0 6
LDLDW
11
Qatar SC
8 1 3 4 9-18 -9 6
LWDLD
12
Al-Sailiya
7 0 1 6 8-26 -18 1
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.1%3.9%
1.5 goals83.5%16.5%
2.5 goals63%37%
3.5 goals40.8%59.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Al-Gharafa

Advice: Double chance : Al-Gharafa or draw

Expected goals: 3.2

Form 22% / 78%
Attack 31% / 69%
Defence 47% / 53%
Poisson 83% / 17%
Head-to-head 60% / 40%
Goals 53% / 47%
Overall 49.3% / 50.7%

Match Centre

1.58 expected_goals 3.04
214 Passes accurate 399
12 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 12
5 Blocked Shots 4
9 Free Kicks 12
4 Shots on Goal 10
7 Goalkeeper Saves 2
7 Shots off Goal 11
275 Total passes 460
16 Total Shots 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
6 Corner Kicks 13
12 Fouls 9
0 Red Cards 0
37% Ball Possession 63%
13' ⚽ Home
22' 🟨 Home
36' ⚽ Home
52' ⚽ Away
58' 🔁 Away
59' 🔁 Home
65' 🔁 Home
78' 🔁 Away
78' 🔁 Home
87' 🔁 Away
87' 🔁 Away
87' 🔁 Away
90' ⚽ Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Al-Gharafa 5/6
Al Ahli Doha 5/6

Over 2.5

Al-Gharafa 4/6
Al Ahli Doha 4/6

Over 3.5

Al-Gharafa 2/6
Al Ahli Doha 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Al-Gharafa 4/6
Al Ahli Doha 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Al-Gharafa

1
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
61-75
1
76+

Al Ahli Doha

0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
4
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

Al-Gharafa

First goal scored: 47' First goal conceded: 33' First card: 25'

Al Ahli Doha

First goal scored: 45' First goal conceded: 51' First card: 38'

Season Statistics

Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
Form
WLLDLD
LDWLWL
Played66
Wins12
Draws21
Losses33
Goals for (avg)11.7
Goals against (avg)1.82
Clean sheets22
Failed to score22
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Al-Gharafa

Total shots 15.7
Blocked 4.8
54% off target 46% on target
64% inside box 36% outside box
Total passes 345.7
Accurate passes 281 (13%)
Possession 46%

Al Ahli Doha

Total shots 18.8
Blocked 5.3
50% off target 50% on target
56% inside box 44% outside box
Total passes 472.5
Accurate passes 408.3
Possession 58%

Trends

3 match streak · Stars League

Al Ahli Doha have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Stars League.

4 match streak · Stars League

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Al Ahli Doha's last 4 matches in Stars League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Al-Gharafa

H · 2 Nov

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Unrated

H · 20 Nov

Al-Duhail SC

4/5

A · 23 Nov

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Unrated

H · 27 Nov

Al-Arabi SC

4/5

A · 3 Dec

Al-Sailiya

1/5

H · 8 Dec

Al-Nassr

Unrated

A · 26 Dec

Lusail City

2/5

H · 7 Jan

Al Ahli Doha

3/5

Al Ahli Doha

A · 20 Nov

Al-Arabi SC

4/5

H · 27 Nov

Al Shamal

2/5

H · 3 Dec

Al-Duhail SC

4/5

H · 26 Dec

Al Waab

Unrated

A · 7 Jan

Al-Gharafa

3/5

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction & Tips

Al-Gharafa took on Al Ahli Doha in the Qatar Stars League. Al-Gharafa had won 1 and drawn 2 of their 6 league games this season, while Al Ahli Doha have 2 wins and 1 draws from 6.

Our model favoured Al-Gharafa as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.2, with both teams to score rated at 64.2%. The published tip for this match was BTS at a 72% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha FAQs

When did the match between Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha take place? +
The match between Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha took place on Thu, 22nd Oct 2026 at 5:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Qatar Stars League
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Al-Gharafa are 7th on the table, while Al Ahli Doha are 6th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha Prediction & Match Preview

League: Qatar : Stars League

Date: Thu, Oct 22nd 2026

Venue: Al Gharafa Stadium ,