Newcastle Vs Aston Villa

Newcastle Vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League

Newcastle

5:30 PM

Oct 17th

Aston Villa

Prediction Odds Confidence

12 1.30

77%

Newcastle: Matches Played 10

WDLWL

4 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Aston Villa: Matches Played 10

LDLWD

5 Wins

In last 10 games

3 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

35% 2.20

35% 3.50

30% 2.90

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

14 February 2026 • FA Cup

Aston Villa

1 3

Newcastle

25 January 2026 • Premier League

Newcastle

0 2

Aston Villa

16 August 2025 • Premier League

Aston Villa

0 0

Newcastle

19 April 2025 • Premier League

Aston Villa

4 1

Newcastle

26 December 2024 • Premier League

Newcastle

3 0

Aston Villa

30 January 2024 • Premier League

Aston Villa

1 3

Newcastle

12 August 2023 • Premier League

Newcastle

5 1

Aston Villa

23 July 2023 • Premier League - Summer Series

Newcastle

3 3

Aston Villa

15 April 2023 • Premier League

Aston Villa

3 0

Newcastle

29 October 2022 • Premier League

Newcastle

4 0

Aston Villa

Last Matches (Newcastle)

12 October 2026 • Premier League

Coventry

4 1

Newcastle

19 September 2026 • Premier League

Newcastle

2 1

Hull City

14 September 2026 • Premier League

Leeds

4 1

Newcastle

8 September 2026 • League Cup

Millwall

0 1

Newcastle

5 September 2026 • Premier League

Newcastle

2 2

Bournemouth

29 August 2026 • Premier League

Tottenham

0 2

Newcastle

26 August 2026 • League Cup

Newcastle

3 2

West Brom

23 August 2026 • Premier League

Newcastle

2 2

Liverpool

15 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Newcastle

1 2

Bayer Leverkusen

12 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Newcastle

1 3

Everton

Last Matches (Aston Villa)

14 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Aston Villa

6 0

Fenerbahçe

10 October 2026 • Premier League

Aston Villa

2 2

Brentford

2 October 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Sevilla

1 3

Aston Villa

19 September 2026 • Premier League

Tottenham

2 3

Aston Villa

16 September 2026 • League Cup

Coventry

1 3

Aston Villa

12 September 2026 • Premier League

Aston Villa

1 2

Nottingham Forest

8 September 2026 • UEFA Champions League

Club Brugge KV

2 3

Aston Villa

5 September 2026 • Premier League

Hull City

0 0

Aston Villa

31 August 2026 • Premier League

Aston Villa

0 1

Arsenal

23 August 2026 • Premier League

Brighton

4 0

Aston Villa

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Manchester City

6 6 0 0 16-5 11 18

WWWWW

Arsenal

6 5 0 1 10-5 5 15

WLWWW

Brighton

6 4 1 1 18-5 13 13

WWWDL

Brentford

6 2 4 0 12-6 6 10

DWDDD

Everton

6 2 4 0 8-5 3 10

DWDDD

Chelsea

6 3 1 2 15-13 2 10

WLDLW

Leeds

6 2 3 1 8-5 3 9

LDWDD

Hull City

6 2 3 1 8-6 2 9

DLDDW

Liverpool

6 2 3 1 7-7 0 9

LWDWD

Ipswich

6 3 0 3 9-12 -3 9

WLWLL

Newcastle

6 2 2 2 10-13 -3 8

LWLDW

Crystal Palace

6 2 1 3 9-12 -3 7

WDLWL

Manchester United

6 1 3 2 9-9 0 6

DDLDW

Coventry

6 2 0 4 5-11 -6 6

WWLLL

Nottingham Forest

6 1 2 3 5-8 -3 5

LLWDD

Aston Villa

6 1 2 3 6-11 -5 5

DWLDL

Sunderland

6 1 1 4 6-12 -6 4

LLLDW

Bournemouth

6 0 3 3 7-13 -6 3

LLDDD

Tottenham

6 0 3 3 3-9 -6 3

DLDDL

Fulham

6 0 2 4 6-10 -4 2

LDDLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

E. Haaland

Manchester City

6 6

João Pedro

Chelsea

5 5

R. Cherki

Manchester City

6 4

M. Rogers

Chelsea

6 4

A. Isak

Liverpool

5 4

B. White

Arsenal

1 0

G. Hamer

Coventry

1 0

M. Belloumi

Hull City

6 3

P. Hincapié

Arsenal

1 0

M. Tavernier

Bournemouth

6 3

E. Eze

Arsenal

1 0

K. Schade

Brentford

6 3

Mikel Merino

Arsenal

1 0

T. Barry

Everton

6 3

B. Mbeumo

Manchester United

6 3

J. Rudoni

Coventry

1 0

N. Angulo

Sunderland

1 1

T. Awoniyi

Coventry

1 0

B. Brobbey

Sunderland

5 3

Martín Zubimendi

Arsenal

1 0

P. Groß

Brighton

6 3

Bruno Fernandes

Manchester United

6 3

N. Madueke

Arsenal

1 0

N. Mendy

Hull City

2 1

D. Ndoye

Nottingham Forest

2 1

B. Saka

Arsenal

6 3

V. Torp

Coventry

1 0

C. Palmer

Chelsea

6 2

Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi

Coventry

1 0

M. Kayode

Brentford

1 1

V. Janelt

Brentford

5 2

J. Enciso

Ipswich

1 0

Víctor Muñoz

Liverpool

3 1

C. Akpom

Ipswich

2 1

D. Rice

Arsenal

1 0

J. Bogle

Leeds

4 2

A. Semenyo

Manchester City

6 2

S. Ajayi

Hull City

2 1

M. Sangaré

Brentford

1 0

Y. Wissa

Newcastle

3 1

A. Scott

Bournemouth

2 1

Pedro Neto

Chelsea

2 1

R. Calafiori

Arsenal

1 0

B. Thomas-Asante

Coventry

1 0

J. Hinshelwood

Brighton

1 2

M. De Cuyper

Brighton

6 2

C. Gakpo

Liverpool

3 1

L. Davis

Ipswich

5 2

T. Mitchell

Crystal Palace

4 2

E. Simms

Coventry

1 0

J. Clarke

Ipswich

2 1

Emersonn

Ipswich

6 2

K. Dewsbury-Hall

Everton

2 1

K. Lewis-Potter

Brentford

3 1

H. Armstrong

Everton

1 0

W. Isidor

Sunderland

2 1

M. Yalcouyé

Brighton

5 2

Joshua King

Fulham

4 2

M. Ødegaard

Arsenal

5 2

C. Tzolis

Arsenal

1 0

C. Kostoulas

Brighton

6 2

A. Stach

Leeds

1 1

I. Ndiaye

Everton

1 0

A. Elanga

Newcastle

3 2

M. Guéhi

Manchester City

2 1

L. Millar

Hull City

2 1

J. Ramsey

Newcastle

3 1

K. Havertz

Arsenal

4 2

L. Tchaouna

Coventry

1 0

D. Calvert-Lewin

Leeds

6 2

R. Slater

Hull City

1 0

J. Willock

Newcastle

5 2

J. Gvardiol

Manchester City

3 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.4

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	96.5%	3.5%
1.5 goals	84.7%	15.3%
2.5 goals	65%	35%
3.5 goals	43.1%	56.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Newcastle

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

Expected goals: 3.4

Form 58% / 42%

Attack 57% / 43%

Defence 39% / 61%

Poisson 66% / 34%

Head-to-head 50% / 50%

Goals 50% / 50%

Overall 53.3% / 46.7%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Newcastle 5/6

Aston Villa 6/6

Over 2.5

Newcastle 4/6

Aston Villa 6/6

Over 3.5

Newcastle 3/6

Aston Villa 5/6

BTTS (Yes)

Newcastle 4/6

Aston Villa 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Newcastle

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Aston Villa

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Newcastle

First goal scored: 57' First goal conceded: 29' First card: 48'

Aston Villa

First goal scored: 37' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 41'

Season Statistics

	Newcastle	Aston Villa
Form	DWDLWL	LLDLWD
Played	6	6
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	3
Goals for (avg)	1.7	1
Goals against (avg)	2.2	1.8
Clean sheets	1	1
Failed to score	0	3
Biggest win streak	1	1

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Newcastle

Total shots 13.7

Blocked 3.7

57% off target 43% on target

63% inside box 37% outside box

Total passes 463.7

Accurate passes 391.8 (56%)

Possession 56%

Aston Villa

Total shots 16

Blocked 4.2

36% off target 64% on target

68% inside box 32% outside box

Total passes 412.4

Accurate passes 349.2 (49%)

Possession 49%

Trends

3 match streak · Premier League

Newcastle have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Premier League.

3 match streak · Premier League

Newcastle have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in Premier League.

3 match streak · Premier League

Both teams have scored in each of Newcastle's last 3 matches in Premier League.

3 match streak · Premier League

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Newcastle's last 3 matches in Premier League.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Newcastle

H · 17 Oct

Aston Villa

2/5

A · 25 Oct

Crystal Palace

3/5

A · 29 Oct

Everton

4/5

H · 2 Nov

Everton

4/5

A · 7 Nov

Fulham

1/5

H · 21 Nov

Arsenal

5/5

A · 29 Nov

Brighton

5/5

H · 2 Dec

Manchester United

2/5

Aston Villa

A · 17 Oct

Newcastle

3/5

H · 21 Oct

Viking

Unrated

H · 24 Oct

Manchester City

5/5

A · 28 Oct

Bournemouth

1/5

H · 31 Oct

Fulham

1/5

A · 3 Nov

Barcelona

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Manchester United

2/5

H · 21 Nov

Sunderland

2/5

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Tips

Newcastle takes on Aston Villa in the England Premier League on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Newcastle have won 2 and drawn 2 of their 6 league games this season, while Aston Villa have 1 wins and 2 draws from 6.

Our model favours Newcastle as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.4, with both teams to score rated at 65.9%. The published tip for this match is 12 at a 77% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Newcastle vs Aston Villa FAQs

When is the match between Newcastle and Aston Villa? +

The match between Newcastle and Aston Villa is scheduled for Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 5:30 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

England Premier League

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Newcastle are 11th on the table, while Aston Villa are 16th.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Premier League

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne