VictorsPredict

Groningen Vs Ajax

Groningen Vs Ajax Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Eredivisie

Groningen

2 : 5 FT

Oct 18th

Ajax
Prediction Odds Confidence
BTS 1.40
WON

Groningen: Matches Played 10

LLDDW
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Ajax: Matches Played 10

LWWDD
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 3.60
45% 3.90
45% 1.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
21 May 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
2 0
Groningen
7 March 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Groningen
3 1
Ajax
2 December 2025 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
2 0
Groningen
14 May 2025 • Eredivisie
D
Groningen
2 2
Ajax
6 October 2024 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
3 1
Groningen
16 May 2023 • Eredivisie
L
Groningen
2 3
Ajax
14 August 2022 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
6 1
Groningen
2 April 2022 • Eredivisie
L
Groningen
1 3
Ajax
25 September 2021 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
3 0
Groningen
7 March 2021 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
3 1
Groningen
Last Matches (Groningen)
29 October 2026 • KNVB Beker
L
Groningen
0 2
Emmen
25 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
NEC Nijmegen
2 2
Groningen
18 October 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Groningen
2 5
Ajax
11 October 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Excelsior
1 5
Groningen
18 September 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Groningen
3 0
PEC Zwolle
12 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
GO Ahead Eagles
1 1
Groningen
6 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Groningen
2 2
Twente
28 August 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Groningen
2 3
Fortuna Sittard
23 August 2026 • Eredivisie
L
PSV Eindhoven
5 1
Groningen
16 August 2026 • Eredivisie
W
ADO Den Haag
1 4
Groningen
Last Matches (Ajax)
25 October 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Sparta Rotterdam
1 2
Ajax
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
W
Ajax
2 0
Atalanta
18 October 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Groningen
2 5
Ajax
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
L
HNK Hajduk Split
2 1
Ajax
10 October 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
1 1
NEC Nijmegen
19 September 2026 • Eredivisie
D
Ajax
2 2
Excelsior
15 September 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Ajax
5 1
Willem II
12 September 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Fortuna Sittard
1 5
Ajax
5 September 2026 • Eredivisie
L
Ajax
1 3
PSV Eindhoven
30 August 2026 • Eredivisie
W
Telstar
0 4
Ajax

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Feyenoord
11 7 4 0 33-12 21 25
DDWWW
2
Ajax
11 7 3 1 30-13 17 24
WWWDD
3
PSV Eindhoven
11 7 2 2 35-13 22 23
WDLWL
4
Twente
11 7 2 2 28-10 18 23
WWLDW
5
AZ Alkmaar
11 6 2 3 20-13 7 20
LLDLW
6
Fortuna Sittard
11 5 4 2 18-18 0 19
DWDDW
7
Heerenveen
11 5 3 3 19-13 6 18
WWWLW
8
Groningen
11 4 3 4 26-24 2 15
LDLWW
9
Cambuur
11 4 3 4 23-22 1 15
WWDWD
10
GO Ahead Eagles
11 3 5 3 23-27 -4 14
LWLDD
11
Sparta Rotterdam
11 3 3 5 20-26 -6 12
WLWDL
12
Utrecht
11 3 3 5 19-31 -12 12
LDWWL
13
NEC Nijmegen
11 2 5 4 17-19 -2 11
LDDDD
14
PEC Zwolle
11 3 2 6 12-23 -11 11
WDWLL
15
Excelsior
11 3 2 6 16-28 -12 11
LLLLD
16
Telstar
11 2 3 6 16-23 -7 9
WLLDL
17
ADO Den Haag
11 1 3 7 13-24 -11 6
LLWDD
18
Willem II
11 0 2 9 10-39 -29 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 4.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals98.4%1.6%
1.5 goals92.1%7.9%
2.5 goals78.9%21.1%
3.5 goals60.4%39.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Ajax

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 4.2

Form 50% / 50%
Attack 48% / 52%
Defence 53% / 47%
Poisson 13% / 87%
Head-to-head 29% / 71%
Goals 38% / 63%
Overall 38.5% / 61.7%

Match Centre

2.29 expected_goals 3.04
376 Passes accurate 391
8 Shots insidebox 13
8 Shots outsidebox 2
7 Blocked Shots 3
17 Free Kicks 12
5 Shots on Goal 11
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
4 Shots off Goal 1
1 Offsides 4
438 Total passes 449
16 Total Shots 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
7 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 17
0 Red Cards 0
57% Ball Possession 43%
10' ⚽ Away
27' ⚽ Away
37' ⚽ Away
40' 🟨 Home
45' 🟨 Away
49' ⚽ Home
60' ⚽ Away
67' 🔁 Home
69' ⚽ Away
74' 🔁 Away
74' 🔁 Away
75' ⚽ Away
82' 🔁 Away
82' 🔁 Away
83' 🔁 Home
83' 🔁 Home
83' 🔁 Home
83' 🔁 Home
83' ⚽ Home
90' 🟨 Away
90' ⚽ Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Groningen 6/6
Ajax 6/6

Over 2.5

Groningen 4/6
Ajax 4/6

Over 3.5

Groningen 3/6
Ajax 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Groningen 4/6
Ajax 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Groningen

2
0-15
1
16-30
4
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
2
76+

Ajax

1
0-15
2
16-30
3
31-45
2
46-60
3
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Groningen

First goal scored: 24' First goal conceded: 42' First card: 31'

Ajax

First goal scored: 38' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 51'

Season Statistics

GroningenAjax
Form
WWLLDDWW
WDWLWWDD
Played88
Wins44
Draws23
Losses21
Goals for (avg)2.52.8
Goals against (avg)1.81.3
Clean sheets12
Failed to score00
Biggest win streak22

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Groningen

Total shots 13.2
Blocked 3.8
42% off target 58% on target
63% inside box 37% outside box
Total passes 459.3
Accurate passes 379.2 (28%)
Possession 52%

Ajax

Total shots 19.2
Blocked 5
55% off target 45% on target
79% inside box 21% outside box
Total passes 583.3
Accurate passes 515.7 (45%)
Possession 60%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Groningen

H · 1 Nov

Sparta Rotterdam

3/5

A · 8 Nov

AZ Alkmaar

4/5

H · 21 Nov

Heerenveen

4/5

H · 27 Nov

Willem II

1/5

A · 4 Dec

Telstar

1/5

H · 13 Dec

Feyenoord

5/5

A · 20 Dec

Cambuur

3/5

H · 10 Jan

GO Ahead Eagles

3/5

Ajax

H · 31 Oct

AZ Alkmaar

4/5

A · 5 Nov

FC Midtjylland

Unrated

A · 8 Nov

Twente

4/5

H · 22 Nov

ADO Den Haag

1/5

H · 26 Nov

FC Thun

Unrated

A · 29 Nov

Feyenoord

5/5

H · 6 Dec

Utrecht

2/5

A · 10 Dec

St. Truiden

Unrated

Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Tips

Groningen took on Ajax in the Netherlands Eredivisie. Groningen had won 4 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Ajax have 4 wins and 3 draws from 8.

Our model favoured Ajax as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 4.2, with both teams to score rated at 76.4%. The published tip for this match was BTS at a 71% win probability.

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Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Groningen vs Ajax FAQs

When did the match between Groningen and Ajax take place? +
The match between Groningen and Ajax took place on Sun, 18th Oct 2026 at 3:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Netherlands Eredivisie
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Groningen are 8th on the table, while Ajax are 2nd.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Match Preview

League: Netherlands : Eredivisie

Date: Sun, Oct 18th 2026

Venue: Euroborg,