Atletico Nacional Vs Independiente Medellin

Atletico Nacional Vs Independiente Medellin Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primera A

Atletico Nacional

2 : 1 FT

Oct 25th

Independiente Medellin

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.35

WON

Atletico Nacional: Matches Played 10

WDWLW

5 Wins

In last 10 games

2 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Independiente Medellin: Matches Played 10

LDLWL

2 Wins

In last 10 games

6 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

50% 1.75

50% 3.40

0% 4.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

15 October 2026 • Copa Colombia

Atletico Nacional

3 2

Independiente Medellin

12 April 2026 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2 3

Atletico Nacional

18 December 2025 • Copa Colombia

Independiente Medellin

0 1

Atletico Nacional

13 December 2025 • Copa Colombia

Atletico Nacional

0 0

Independiente Medellin

4 December 2025 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

2 1

Independiente Medellin

23 November 2025 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

0 0

Atletico Nacional

26 October 2025 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

5 2

Independiente Medellin

7 September 2025 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

3 3

Atletico Nacional

4 May 2025 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

1 1

Atletico Nacional

Last Matches (Atletico Nacional)

25 October 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

2 1

Independiente Medellin

23 October 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

3 0

Deportivo Pasto

20 October 2026 • Primera A

Cucuta

1 0

Atletico Nacional

17 October 2026 • Primera A

Chico

1 4

Atletico Nacional

15 October 2026 • Copa Colombia

Atletico Nacional

3 2

Independiente Medellin

8 October 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

0 0

Deportes Tolima

1 October 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

3 1

Junior

26 September 2026 • Friendlies Clubs

Atletico Nacional

1 1

Chapecoense-sc

25 September 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

1 1

Millonarios

21 September 2026 • Primera A

Llaneros

2 0

Atletico Nacional

Last Matches (Independiente Medellin)

25 October 2026 • Primera A

Atletico Nacional

2 1

Independiente Medellin

18 October 2026 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

0 2

Once Caldas

15 October 2026 • Copa Colombia

Atletico Nacional

3 2

Independiente Medellin

12 October 2026 • Primera A

America de Cali

1 2

Independiente Medellin

6 October 2026 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

0 1

Santa Fe

30 September 2026 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2 2

Millonarios

27 September 2026 • Primera A

Junior

2 0

Independiente Medellin

22 September 2026 • Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2 1

Jaguares

18 September 2026 • Primera A

Bucaramanga

2 2

Independiente Medellin

12 September 2026 • Primera A

Chico

2 1

Independiente Medellin

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Atletico Nacional

19 13 1 5 35-15 20 40

WWWLW

Junior

19 11 2 6 31-24 7 35

LDWDD

Deportivo Pasto

19 10 4 5 29-25 4 34

LWLLD

America de Cali

19 10 3 6 25-15 10 33

WWDLW

Once Caldas

19 8 9 2 31-22 9 33

WDDWW

Deportes Tolima

19 8 7 4 27-17 10 31

LLLDD

Santa Fe

19 7 8 4 29-22 7 29

LWWLW

Internacional de Bogota

19 7 7 5 26-26 0 28

WLWDD

Deportivo Cali

19 7 6 6 20-16 4 27

WDWDD

Millonarios

19 7 5 7 31-23 8 26

DWDDD

Independiente Medellin

19 7 5 7 26-24 2 26

WLLLW

Águilas Doradas

19 7 5 7 20-25 -5 26

WLWDD

Bucaramanga

19 5 8 6 26-20 6 23

WLLDD

Llaneros

19 4 10 5 17-20 -3 22

WLLWL

Fortaleza FC

19 5 7 7 22-27 -5 22

LDLDD

Jaguares

19 5 3 11 20-33 -13 18

LWLLW

Alianza Valledupar

19 3 8 8 13-27 -14 17

LLWWD

Chico

19 5 2 12 15-32 -17 17

LDWLL

Cucuta

19 3 7 9 22-35 -13 16

LLWWW

Deportivo Pereira

19 1 7 11 15-32 -17 10

WDWDD

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	93.6%	6.4%
1.5 goals	76%	24%
2.5 goals	51.8%	48.2%
3.5 goals	29.7%	70.3%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Atletico Nacional

Advice: Winner : Atletico Nacional

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 71% / 29%

Attack 71% / 29%

Defence 73% / 27%

Poisson 77% / 23%

Head-to-head 93% / 7%

Goals 64% / 36%

Overall 74.8% / 25.2%

Match Centre

5 Shots on Goal 3

2 Shots off Goal 3

8 Total Shots 13

1 Blocked Shots 7

5 Shots insidebox 8

3 Shots outsidebox 5

11 Fouls 15

3 Corner Kicks 8

2 Offsides 4

59% Ball Possession 41%

1 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

421 Total passes 281

352 Passes accurate 220

84% Passes % 78%

1.69 expected_goals 1.58

0.47 goals_prevented 0.47

20' 🟨 Away

29' ⚽ Away

32' 🟨 Home

41' 🟨 Away

45' 🟨 Away

53' ⚽ Home

56' 🔁 Home

58' 🔁 Away

62' 🔁 Home

65' 🔁 Away

73' ⚽ Home

77' 🔁 Home

77' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Atletico Nacional 4/6

Independiente Medellin 5/6

Over 2.5

Atletico Nacional 4/6

Independiente Medellin 4/6

Over 3.5

Atletico Nacional 2/6

Independiente Medellin 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Atletico Nacional 3/6

Independiente Medellin 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Atletico Nacional

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Independiente Medellin

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Atletico Nacional

First goal scored: 26' First goal conceded: 48' First card: 35'

Independiente Medellin

First goal scored: 39' First goal conceded: 38' First card: 45'

Season Statistics

	Atletico Nacional	Independiente Medellin
Form	WWWLWWLWWWLWWDWWWLLWWWWLWWLWWWWWLDWDWLW	LLDDLWDDLWWLWDLWWWLWWWLWWLDWLDLWL
Played	39	33
Wins	27	14
Draws	3	7
Losses	9	12
Goals for (avg)	2	1.4
Goals against (avg)	0.8	1.3
Clean sheets	13	7
Failed to score	11	6
Biggest win streak	5	3

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

Atletico Nacional

Total shots 14.2

Blocked 3

45% off target 55% on target

54% inside box 46% outside box

Total passes 516.8

Accurate passes 450.6 (69%)

Possession 63%

Independiente Medellin

Total shots 13

Blocked 4

58% off target 42% on target

52% inside box 48% outside box

Total passes 373.4

Accurate passes 310.4 (33%)

Possession 50%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Atletico Nacional

H · 30 Oct

Santa Fe

4/5

A · 3 Nov

Bucaramanga

2/5

H · 7 Nov

Deportivo Pereira

1/5

H · 12 Nov

Once Caldas

4/5

Independiente Medellin

A · 29 Oct

Internacional de Bogota

4/5

H · 1 Nov

Alianza Valledupar

2/5

A · 7 Nov

Fortaleza FC

2/5

A · 12 Nov

Águilas Doradas

3/5

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Tips

Atletico Nacional took on Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A. Atletico Nacional had won 27 and drawn 3 of their 39 league games this season, while Independiente Medellin have 14 wins and 7 draws from 33.

Our model favoured Atletico Nacional as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 53.9%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin FAQs

When did the match between Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin take place? +

The match between Atletico Nacional and Independiente Medellin took place on Sun, 25th Oct 2026 at 12:10 AM.

Which league is this match in? +

Colombia Primera A

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Atletico Nacional are 1st on the table, while Independiente Medellin are 11th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Atletico Nacional vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Preview

League: Colombia : Primera A

Date: Sun, Oct 25th 2026

Venue: Estadio Atanasio Girardot,