VictorsPredict

Baglan Dragons Vs Aberystwyth Town

Baglan Dragons Vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FAW Championship

Baglan Dragons

2:30 PM

Oct 24th

Aberystwyth Town
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.33
75%

Baglan Dragons: Matches Played 10

WLLWD
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Aberystwyth Town: Matches Played 10

WWDWL
W

7 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
0% 4.00
50% 3.30
50% 1.75

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
7 February 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Baglan Dragons
0 1
Aberystwyth Town
9 August 2025 • FAW Championship
L
Aberystwyth Town
2 1
Baglan Dragons
Last Matches (Baglan Dragons)
17 October 2026 • Welsh Cup
W
Llantwit Fardre
1 3
Baglan Dragons
10 October 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Baglan Dragons
1 1
Pontypridd Town
2 October 2026 • FAW Championship
W
llanelli AFC
1 2
Baglan Dragons
25 September 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Baglan Dragons
1 2
Carmarthen Town
12 September 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Cardiff Draconians
2 1
Baglan Dragons
4 September 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Baglan Dragons
2 1
Afan Lido
31 August 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Baglan Dragons
0 1
Caerphilly Athletic
28 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Baglan Dragons
3 1
Caerau (Ely)
21 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Newport City
0 1
Baglan Dragons
15 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Llantwit Major
0 1
Baglan Dragons
Last Matches (Aberystwyth Town)
17 October 2026 • Welsh Cup
W
Aberystwyth Town
5 1
Prestatyn Town
10 October 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Aberystwyth Town
0 1
Caerau (Ely)
3 October 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Pontypridd Town
1 3
Aberystwyth Town
25 September 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Aberystwyth Town
0 0
Swansea University
12 September 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Caerphilly Athletic
2 3
Aberystwyth Town
31 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Aberystwyth Town
4 0
llanelli AFC
28 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Aberystwyth Town
1 0
Pontardawe Town
22 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Aberystwyth Town
5 1
Llantwit Major
8 August 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Aberystwyth Town
1 2
Treowen Stars
1 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Afan Lido
2 5
Aberystwyth Town

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Brickfield Rangers
13 10 1 2 28-11 17 31
DWLWW
2
Newtown AFC
12 8 3 1 22-5 17 27
WDDWL
3
Mold Alexandra
12 7 3 2 30-15 15 24
WWLWD
4
Porthmadog
13 7 3 3 20-14 6 24
DLWWW
5
Bala Town
13 6 3 4 26-24 2 21
DDLDL
6
Caersws
12 5 5 2 25-18 7 20
DDDDW
7
Bangor City 1876 FC
12 5 4 3 25-19 6 19
DDLLW
8
Guilsfield
13 4 6 3 20-18 2 18
DDLWW
9
Buckley Town
13 4 3 6 25-23 2 15
LLWDW
10
Llanuwchllyn
13 4 3 6 23-31 -8 15
LDWLL
11
Holyhead Hotspur
12 4 2 6 17-20 -3 14
WWDWL
12
Denbigh Town
12 4 1 7 24-26 -2 13
WWLLW
13
Rhyl
13 2 6 5 21-24 -3 12
LDDLL
14
Ruthin Town
12 3 3 6 12-22 -10 12
WDDWL
15
Gresford Athletic
11 2 1 8 7-24 -17 7
LLWWD
16
Penrhyncoch
12 0 1 11 6-37 -31 1
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.8

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals93.9%6.1%
1.5 goals76.9%23.1%
2.5 goals53%47%
3.5 goals30.8%69.2%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Aberystwyth Town

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aberystwyth Town

Expected goals: 2.8

Form 41% / 59%
Attack 41% / 59%
Defence 36% / 64%
Poisson 25% / 75%
Head-to-head 0% / 100%
Goals 25% / 75%
Overall 33.6% / 66.4%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Baglan Dragons 6/6
Aberystwyth Town 4/6

Over 2.5

Baglan Dragons 5/6
Aberystwyth Town 4/6

Over 3.5

Baglan Dragons 1/6
Aberystwyth Town 4/6

BTTS (Yes)

Baglan Dragons 6/6
Aberystwyth Town 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Baglan Dragons

1
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
3
76+

Aberystwyth Town

2
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Baglan Dragons

First goal scored: 60' First goal conceded: 38' First card: 3'

Aberystwyth Town

First goal scored: 20' First goal conceded: 57' First card: 88'

Season Statistics

Baglan DragonsAberystwyth Town
Form
DLWWWLWLLWD
WLWWWWDWL
Played119
Wins56
Draws21
Losses42
Goals for (avg)1.12.4
Goals against (avg)1.11
Clean sheets33
Failed to score32
Biggest win streak34

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Baglan Dragons

H · 24 Oct

Aberystwyth Town

Unrated

H · 30 Oct

Treowen Stars

Unrated

H · 6 Nov

Ynyshir Albions

Unrated

H · 14 Nov

Barry Town

Unrated

A · 21 Nov

Pontardawe Town

Unrated

A · 27 Nov

Caerphilly Athletic

Unrated

A · 4 Dec

Pontypridd Town

Unrated

H · 18 Dec

Cardiff Draconians

Unrated

Aberystwyth Town

A · 24 Oct

Baglan Dragons

Unrated

H · 31 Oct

Trethomas Bluebirds

Unrated

A · 7 Nov

Carmarthen Town

Unrated

A · 14 Nov

Colwyn Bay

Unrated

A · 21 Nov

Cardiff Draconians

Unrated

H · 28 Nov

Pontypridd Town

Unrated

A · 5 Dec

Llantwit Major

Unrated

A · 12 Dec

Ynyshir Albions

Unrated

Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction & Tips

Baglan Dragons takes on Aberystwyth Town in the Wales FAW Championship on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Baglan Dragons have won 5 and drawn 2 of their 11 league games this season, while Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins and 1 draws from 9.

Our model favours Aberystwyth Town as the more likely side (0% home, 50% draw, 50% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.8, with both teams to score rated at 53.7%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 75% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town FAQs

When is the match between Baglan Dragons and Aberystwyth Town? +
The match between Baglan Dragons and Aberystwyth Town is scheduled for Sat, 24th Oct 2026 at 2:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Wales FAW Championship
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Baglan Dragons vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction & Match Preview

League: Wales : FAW Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 24th 2026

Venue: ,