VictorsPredict

Lexington Vs FC Tulsa

Lexington Vs FC Tulsa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USL Championship

Lexington

12:30 AM

Oct 9th

FC Tulsa
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.35
74%

Lexington: Matches Played 10

LWWWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

0 Draws

In last 10 games

FC Tulsa: Matches Played 10

LDDWD
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.70
45% 3.40
10% 4.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
26 July 2026 • USL Championship
D
FC Tulsa
0 0
Lexington
5 October 2025 • USL Championship
L
FC Tulsa
3 0
Lexington
18 May 2025 • USL Championship
L
Lexington
0 2
FC Tulsa
Last Matches (Lexington)
3 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
Lexington
3 1
El Paso Locomotive
27 September 2026 • USL Championship
W
Monterey Bay
2 3
Lexington
19 September 2026 • USL Championship
W
Lexington
6 0
Orange County SC
13 September 2026 • USL Championship
W
Oakland Roots
1 4
Lexington
5 September 2026 • USL Championship
L
Sporting JAX
3 2
Lexington
29 August 2026 • USL Championship
L
Lexington
0 1
Colorado Springs
27 August 2026 • USL Championship
L
New Mexico United
2 1
Lexington
22 August 2026 • USL Championship
W
Lexington
2 0
Las Vegas Lights
16 August 2026 • USL Championship
L
Sacramento Republic
1 0
Lexington
8 August 2026 • USL Championship
W
Lexington
1 0
Phoenix Rising
Last Matches (FC Tulsa)
4 October 2026 • USL Championship
D
FC Tulsa
1 1
Sacramento Republic
1 October 2026 • USL Championship
W
FC Tulsa
1 0
New Mexico United
26 September 2026 • USL Championship
D
El Paso Locomotive
1 1
FC Tulsa
19 September 2026 • USL Championship
D
Brooklyn
2 2
FC Tulsa
13 September 2026 • USL Championship
L
Phoenix Rising
2 1
FC Tulsa
6 September 2026 • USL Championship
D
San Antonio
0 0
FC Tulsa
30 August 2026 • USL Championship
W
FC Tulsa
1 0
Rhode Island
23 August 2026 • USL Championship
W
Orange County SC
1 5
FC Tulsa
16 August 2026 • USL Championship
L
New Mexico United
1 0
FC Tulsa
9 August 2026 • USL Championship
L
FC Tulsa
0 1
Detroit City

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Tampa Bay Rowdies
29 17 7 5 50-26 24 58
WWLDW
2
Charleston Battery
29 15 5 9 55-35 20 50
WDLWW
3
Detroit City
29 14 8 7 34-21 13 50
LWWWD
4
Louisville City
29 13 7 9 51-43 8 46
WWWDW
5
Rhode Island
29 12 6 11 41-31 10 42
DWLWW
6
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
29 12 6 11 31-29 2 42
DWLLW
7
Hartford Athletic
29 9 13 7 33-32 1 40
LDLDD
8
Miami FC
30 9 9 12 39-49 -10 36
LLWWW
9
Indy Eleven
29 9 7 13 35-40 -5 34
LLDLL
10
Birmingham Legion
29 6 12 11 39-44 -5 30
WDWLW
11
Loudoun United
29 5 13 11 34-45 -11 28
DLWDW
12
Brooklyn
29 5 6 18 31-59 -28 21
LWLLL
13
Sporting JAX
29 3 5 21 32-76 -44 14
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.2%7.8%
1.5 goals72.3%27.7%
2.5 goals46.9%53.1%
3.5 goals25.3%74.7%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Lexington

Advice: Double chance : Lexington or draw

Expected goals: 2.5

Form 67% / 33%
Attack 75% / 25%
Defence 46% / 54%
Poisson 60% / 40%
Head-to-head 13% / 88%
Goals 0% / 100%
Overall 52.2% / 48%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Lexington 5/6
FC Tulsa 4/6

Over 2.5

Lexington 5/6
FC Tulsa 2/6

Over 3.5

Lexington 5/6
FC Tulsa 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Lexington 4/6
FC Tulsa 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Lexington

3
0-15
2
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
4
61-75
6
76+

FC Tulsa

2
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Lexington

First goal scored: 27' First goal conceded: 37' First card: 67'

FC Tulsa

First goal scored: 12' First goal conceded: 53' First card: 34'

Season Statistics

LexingtonFC Tulsa
Form
LDWLDLDLWLWWWLWDWWLWLLLWWWW
LDWDLDWWWDLWLWDWWLLWWDLDDWD
Played2727
Wins1311
Draws49
Losses107
Goals for (avg)1.81.2
Goals against (avg)1.20.9
Clean sheets911
Failed to score68
Biggest win streak33

Trends

4 match streak · USL Championship

Lexington are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in USL Championship.

4 match streak · USL Championship

Lexington have won 4 consecutive matches in USL Championship.

5 match streak · USL Championship

Lexington have scored in each of their last 5 matches in USL Championship.

5 match streak · USL Championship

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Lexington's last 5 matches in USL Championship.

4 match streak · USL Championship

FC Tulsa are unbeaten in their last 4 matches in USL Championship.

5 match streak · USL Championship

FC Tulsa have scored in each of their last 5 matches in USL Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Lexington

H · 9 Oct

FC Tulsa

Unrated

A · 18 Oct

Las Vegas Lights

Unrated

A · 25 Oct

Phoenix Rising

Unrated

FC Tulsa

A · 9 Oct

Lexington

Unrated

H · 18 Oct

Oakland Roots

Unrated

A · 25 Oct

Colorado Springs

Unrated

Lexington vs FC Tulsa Prediction & Tips

Lexington takes on FC Tulsa in the USA USL Championship on Friday, 9 October 2026. Lexington have won 13 and drawn 4 of their 27 league games this season, while FC Tulsa have 11 wins and 9 draws from 27.

Our model favours Lexington as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 51.8%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Lexington vs FC Tulsa FAQs

When is the match between Lexington and FC Tulsa? +
The match between Lexington and FC Tulsa is scheduled for Fri, 9th Oct 2026 at 12:30 AM.
Which league is this match in? +
USA USL Championship
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Lexington vs FC Tulsa Prediction & Match Preview

League: USA : USL Championship

Date: Fri, Oct 9th 2026

Venue: Toyota Stadium,