Derry City Vs St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City Vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier Division

7:45 PM
Oct 9th
St Patrick's Athl.Derry City: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
St Patrick's Athl.: Matches Played 10
5 Wins
In last 10 games
3 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Last Matches (Derry City)
Derry City
Derry City
Drogheda United
Galway United
Derry City
Waterford
Shelbourne
Derry City
Derry City
Bohemians
Last Matches (St Patrick's Athl.)
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
League Table
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Derry City
Galway United
Dundalk
Waterford
Drogheda United
Sligo RoversTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.5
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.2% | 7.8% |
| 1.5 goals | 72.3% | 27.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 46.9% | 53.1% |
| 3.5 goals | 25.3% | 74.7% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
1X
54.9%
12
73.8%
X2
71.3%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
1-0
8.6%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
1 / 1
16.2%
1 / X
5%
1 / 2
2.3%
X / 1
10.8%
X / X
16.3%
X / 2
15.8%
2 / 1
1.7%
2 / X
5%
2 / 2
27%
Home -1.25
16.2%
odds 5.60
Away -1.25
83.8%
odds 1.08
Implied from Marathonbet odds.
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: St Patrick's Athl.
Advice: Double chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl.
Expected goals: 2.5
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Average Event Minute
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Season Statistics
| Derry City | St Patrick's Athl. | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDLWLLDDLDDWWDDLDDDLWLDWLDWLDWDW | DLWWWWDWWLLWWDDWLDLWWLWDDDWWLWWW |
| Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 10 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 4 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Derry City
A · 30 Oct
Sligo Rovers
1/5H · 8 Nov
Waterford
2/5St Patrick's Athl.
H · 30 Oct
Bohemians
5/5Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Tips
Derry City takes on St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland Premier Division on Friday, 9 October 2026. Derry City have won 9 and drawn 14 of their 32 league games this season, while St Patrick's Athl. have 17 wins and 8 draws from 32.
Our model favours St Patrick's Athl. as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 51.1%. The published tip for this match is Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.
Published by
Pá Vick
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Preview
League: Ireland : Premier Division
Date: Fri, Oct 9th 2026
Venue: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium,