Leones del Norte Vs Libertad

Leones del Norte Vs Libertad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

4 : 1 FT

Oct 25th

Libertad

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.26

LOST

Leones del Norte: Matches Played 10

DLDLL

3 Wins

In last 10 games

5 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Libertad: Matches Played 10

WLWWW

5 Wins

In last 10 games

3 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 1.95

45% 3.10

45% 3.40

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

9 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

3 0

Leones del Norte

4 July 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

1 3

Leones del Norte

28 February 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

1 1

Libertad

Last Matches (Leones del Norte)

25 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

4 1

Libertad

18 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

1 3

Emelec

9 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

3 0

Leones del Norte

19 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Guayaquil City FC

1 1

Leones del Norte

13 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

0 1

Tecnico Universitario

8 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Mushuc Runa SC

1 1

Leones del Norte

3 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

1 0

Orense SC

30 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Emelec

2 1

Leones del Norte

22 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

2 3

Independiente del Valle

15 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Manta FC

0 2

Leones del Norte

Last Matches (Libertad)

25 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Leones del Norte

4 1

Libertad

17 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

4 0

Guayaquil City FC

9 October 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

3 0

Leones del Norte

20 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Emelec

1 2

Libertad

13 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

2 3

Independiente del Valle

7 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Deportivo Cuenca

0 1

Libertad

4 September 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

1 1

Emelec

30 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Aucas

1 0

Libertad

25 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Libertad

1 0

Macara

15 August 2026 • Liga Pro

Guayaquil City FC

2 2

Libertad

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Independiente del Valle

30 24 2 4 73-33 40 74

WWLDW

Universidad Catolica

30 14 9 7 51-27 24 51

WWDDW

Macara

30 15 6 9 41-33 8 51

WLWWL

Aucas

30 14 8 8 33-28 5 50

DDDWW

LDU de Quito

30 13 7 10 31-24 7 46

DWDLW

Barcelona SC

30 11 11 8 32-25 7 44

DDWLW

Libertad

30 11 8 11 33-34 -1 41

LWDLW

Leones del Norte

30 10 9 11 31-32 -1 39

LDWLL

Guayaquil City FC

30 10 9 11 33-36 -3 39

WLLWW

Emelec

30 10 9 11 25-34 -9 39

LWDWL

Mushuc Runa SC

30 9 11 10 35-38 -3 38

LDDWD

Deportivo Cuenca

30 10 6 14 25-37 -12 36

DLWLD

Orense SC

30 9 6 15 36-47 -11 33

LWLLL

Tecnico Universitario

30 10 2 18 28-42 -14 32

WLLWL

Delfin SC

30 7 7 16 19-31 -12 28

DLWLL

Manta FC

30 5 6 19 17-42 -25 21

DLLWL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.3

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	90%	10%
1.5 goals	66.9%	33.1%
2.5 goals	40.4%	59.6%
3.5 goals	20.1%	79.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Libertad

Advice: Double chance : draw or Libertad

Expected goals: 2.3

Form 14% / 86%

Attack 20% / 80%

Defence 31% / 69%

Poisson 54% / 46%

Head-to-head 50% / 50%

Goals 44% / 56%

Overall 35.5% / 64.5%

Match Centre

2.34 expected_goals 2.04

294 Passes accurate 313

9 Shots insidebox 12

11 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Blocked Shots 3

7 Free Kicks 16

5 Shots on Goal 7

6 Goalkeeper Saves 1

12 Shots off Goal 8

2 Offsides 0

369 Total passes 393

20 Total Shots 18

2 Yellow Cards 1

5 Corner Kicks 4

16 Fouls 8

0 Red Cards 0

49% Ball Possession 51%

31' ⚽ Home

38' ⚽ Away

45' 🟨 Home

45' 🔁 Away

58' ⚽ Home

61' ⚽ Home

73' 🟨 Home

73' 🟨 Away

73' 🔁 Away

74' 🔁 Away

85' 🔁 Away

87' 🔁 Away

88' 🔁 Home

90' 🔁 Home

90' ⚽ Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Leones del Norte 5/6

Libertad 5/6

Over 2.5

Leones del Norte 3/6

Libertad 5/6

Over 3.5

Leones del Norte 2/6

Libertad 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Leones del Norte 4/6

Libertad 3/6

Goals By Time Period

Leones del Norte

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Libertad

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Leones del Norte

First goal scored: 33' First goal conceded: 46' First card: 43'

Libertad

First goal scored: 46' First goal conceded: 24' First card: 37'

Season Statistics

	Leones del Norte	Libertad
Form	DDLDLDWLLWLWLWLDWWDWDWDLWLLWDLDLL	WDWLDDDLLLLWDLWLLDWLWWWWDWLDWLWWW
Played	33	33
Wins	10	14
Draws	10	8
Losses	13	11
Goals for (avg)	1	1.3
Goals against (avg)	1.2	1.1
Clean sheets	10	12
Failed to score	9	9
Biggest win streak	2	4

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Leones del Norte

Total shots 16.3

Blocked 4.2

66% off target 34% on target

57% inside box 43% outside box

Total passes 371.5

Accurate passes 296.3 (39%)

Possession 52%

Libertad

Total shots 15.3

Blocked 3.2

53% off target 47% on target

54% inside box 46% outside box

Total passes 370.8

Accurate passes 300.2 (13%)

Possession 48%

Trends

6 match streak · Liga Pro

Leones del Norte have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Liga Pro.

3 match streak · Liga Pro

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Leones del Norte's last 3 matches in Liga Pro.

7 match streak · Liga Pro

Libertad have scored in each of their last 7 matches in Liga Pro.

5 match streak · Liga Pro

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Libertad's last 5 matches in Liga Pro.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Leones del Norte

A · 31 Oct

Emelec

3/5

H · 8 Nov

Guayaquil City FC

3/5

Libertad

A · 1 Nov

Guayaquil City FC

3/5

H · 8 Nov

Emelec

3/5

Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction & Tips

Leones del Norte took on Libertad in the Ecuador Liga Pro. Leones del Norte had won 10 and drawn 10 of their 33 league games this season, while Libertad have 14 wins and 8 draws from 33.

Our model favoured Libertad as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.3, with both teams to score rated at 46.4%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Leones del Norte vs Libertad FAQs

When did the match between Leones del Norte and Libertad take place? +

The match between Leones del Norte and Libertad took place on Sun, 25th Oct 2026 at 5:30 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Ecuador Liga Pro

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Leones del Norte are 8th on the table, while Libertad are 7th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction & Match Preview

League: Ecuador : Liga Pro

Date: Sun, Oct 25th 2026

Venue: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra,