Luxembourg Vs Bulgaria
Luxembourg Vs Bulgaria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
UEFA Nations League

0 : 2 FT
Oct 6th
BulgariaLuxembourg: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
0 Draws
In last 10 games
Bulgaria: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Last Matches (Luxembourg)
Estonia
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Albania
Luxembourg
Luxembourg
Malta
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
Slovakia
Last Matches (Bulgaria)
Iceland
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Moldova
Bulgaria
Indonesia
Solomon Islands
Bulgaria
Türkiye
Spain
League Table
Iceland
Estonia
Bulgaria
LuxembourgTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 88.9% | 11.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| 2.5 goals | 37.7% | 62.3% |
| 3.5 goals | 18.1% | 81.9% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
1X
69.5%
12
71.1%
X2
59.4%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
8%
2-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
1 / 1
23.5%
1 / X
4.7%
1 / 2
1.4%
X / 1
15.3%
X / X
19.5%
X / 2
12%
2 / 1
1.8%
2 / X
4.7%
2 / 2
17.1%
Home -1.25
22.7%
odds 4.15
Away -1.25
77.3%
odds 1.22
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 8.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 1.5
70.4%
odds 1.28
Under 1.5
29.6%
odds 3.05
Implied from 1xBet odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Luxembourg
Advice: Double chance : Luxembourg or draw
Expected goals: 2.2
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Average Event Minute
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Season Statistics
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WLL | LDL |
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 3 matches.
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
Trends
3 match streak · UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg have conceded in each of their last 3 matches in UEFA Nations League.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Luxembourg
H · 6 Oct
Bulgaria
2/5H · 13 Nov
Estonia
4/5A · 16 Nov
Iceland
5/5Bulgaria
A · 6 Oct
Luxembourg
1/5H · 13 Nov
Iceland
5/5A · 16 Nov
Estonia
4/5Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Tips
Luxembourg took on Bulgaria in the World UEFA Nations League. Luxembourg had won 1 and drawn 0 of their 3 league games this season, while Bulgaria have 0 wins and 1 draws from 3.
Our model favoured Luxembourg as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 44.2%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 77% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria FAQs
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Match Preview
Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Match Preview
League: World : UEFA Nations League
Date: Tue, Oct 6th 2026
Venue: Stade de Luxembourg,