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LeaguesArouca Vs Estrela
Arouca Vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primeira Liga
1 : 0 FT
Oct 11th
EstrelaArouca: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Estrela: Matches Played 10
4 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Arouca
EstrelaAroucaEstrelaAroucaEstrelaLast Matches (Arouca)
AlvercaArouca
Sporting CPArouca
EstorilArouca
FC PortoArouca
Vitória SC
Lusitânia LourosaLast Matches (Estrela)
FazendenseAroucaEstrela
Rio AveEstrela
Estrela
NacionalAlvercaEstrelaEstrela
League Table
FC Porto
BenficaSporting CPSanta ClaraAroucaAcademico Viseu
GIL VicenteAlvercaSC BragaMoreirenseFamalicaoEstrelaVitória SCMaritimoNacionalRio Ave
Casa PiaEstorilTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 3.2
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 95.9% | 4.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 82.9% | 17.1% |
| 2.5 goals | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 goals | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
1X
65.9%
12
76.7%
X2
57.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
1 / 1
26%
1 / X
5.4%
1 / 2
2.5%
X / 1
13.7%
X / X
12.5%
X / 2
11.4%
2 / 1
3%
2 / X
5.4%
2 / 2
20.2%
Home -1.25
25.4%
odds 3.70
Away -1.25
74.6%
odds 1.26
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 8.5
53.6%
odds 1.73
Under 8.5
46.4%
odds 2.00
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 1.5
67.8%
odds 1.33
Under 1.5
32.2%
odds 2.80
Implied from 1xBet odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Arouca
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arouca or draw and +1.5 goals
Expected goals: 3.2
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Arouca
Estrela
Average Event Minute
Arouca
Estrela
Season Statistics
| Arouca | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWLWDLD | DDWDWDL |
| Played | 7 | 7 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 2 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Arouca
Estrela
Trends
3 match streak · Primeira Liga
Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primeira Liga.
4 match streak · Primeira Liga
Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primeira Liga.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Arouca
H · 1 Nov
Nacional
2/5A · 6 Nov
Famalicao
3/5A · 21 Nov
Mafra
UnratedH · 28 Nov
Rio Ave
1/5A · 6 Dec
SC Braga
3/5A · 13 Dec
Academico Viseu
4/5H · 20 Dec
Casa Pia
1/5A · 27 Dec
GIL Vicente
4/5Estrela
H · 24 Oct
Casa Pia
1/5A · 31 Oct
Moreirense
3/5H · 8 Nov
Benfica
5/5A · 28 Nov
Vitória SC
2/5H · 6 Dec
GIL Vicente
4/5A · 13 Dec
FC Porto
5/5H · 20 Dec
Maritimo
2/5A · 27 Dec
Santa Clara
4/5Arouca vs Estrela Prediction & Tips
Arouca took on Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Arouca had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 7 league games this season, while Estrela have 2 wins and 4 draws from 7.
Our model favoured Arouca as the more likely side (35% home, 35% draw, 30% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.2, with both teams to score rated at 63.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 77% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Arouca vs Estrela Prediction & Match Preview
League: Portugal : Primeira Liga
Date: Sun, Oct 11th 2026
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca,