Kilmarnock Vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock Vs Motherwell Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premiership

Kilmarnock

3 : 2 FT

Oct 17th

Motherwell

Prediction Odds Confidence

Under 3.5 1.37

LOST

Kilmarnock: Matches Played 10

LLDWD

3 Wins

In last 10 games

5 Losses

In last 10 games

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Motherwell: Matches Played 10

DWLLL

1 Wins

In last 10 games

8 Losses

In last 10 games

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

10% 3.10

45% 3.40

45% 2.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

24 January 2026 • Premiership

Motherwell

4 0

Kilmarnock

22 November 2025 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

1 3

Motherwell

30 August 2025 • Premiership

Motherwell

2 2

Kilmarnock

14 May 2025 • Premiership

Motherwell

3 0

Kilmarnock

5 April 2025 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

2 0

Motherwell

8 January 2025 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

0 0

Motherwell

20 December 2024 • Premiership

Motherwell

1 1

Kilmarnock

18 August 2024 • League Cup

Motherwell

1 0

Kilmarnock

3 February 2024 • Premiership

Motherwell

1 1

Kilmarnock

4 November 2023 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

1 0

Motherwell

Last Matches (Kilmarnock)

28 October 2026 • Premiership

Dundee

3 1

Kilmarnock

24 October 2026 • Premiership

Falkirk

3 0

Kilmarnock

17 October 2026 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

3 2

Motherwell

10 October 2026 • Premiership

Rangers

3 1

Kilmarnock

19 September 2026 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

1 1

Heart Of Midlothian

15 September 2026 • Premiership

Hibernian

0 1

Kilmarnock

5 September 2026 • Premiership

Aberdeen

0 0

Kilmarnock

2 September 2026 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

0 1

ST Mirren

29 August 2026 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

0 4

Dundee Utd

14 August 2026 • League Cup

Kilmarnock

3 2

Ayr Utd

Last Matches (Motherwell)

25 October 2026 • Premiership

Motherwell

0 2

Heart Of Midlothian

17 October 2026 • Premiership

Kilmarnock

3 2

Motherwell

11 October 2026 • Premiership

Motherwell

0 2

Celtic

19 September 2026 • Premiership

Dundee

2 1

Motherwell

15 September 2026 • Premiership

Motherwell

0 4

Aberdeen

5 September 2026 • Premiership

Rangers

1 0

Motherwell

2 September 2026 • Premiership

Motherwell

3 0

Dundee Utd

30 August 2026 • Premiership

ST Mirren

3 3

Motherwell

27 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

SC Freiburg

4 1

Motherwell

20 August 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League

Motherwell

1 3

SC Freiburg

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Celtic

11 9 1 1 27-8 19 28

DWWWL

Rangers

11 7 3 1 19-9 10 24

DWDWW

Heart Of Midlothian

11 6 2 3 24-17 7 20

DWLWD

Dundee

11 5 2 4 17-13 4 17

WLDWW

Dundee Utd

11 4 4 3 16-16 0 16

DWDWW

Falkirk

11 4 3 4 13-12 1 15

WWWLD

ST Johnstone

12 3 5 4 15-19 -4 14

DDLDW

ST Mirren

12 4 2 6 12-20 -8 14

LDWLL

Motherwell

12 3 3 6 14-20 -6 12

WDLLL

Aberdeen

11 3 2 6 12-14 -2 11

LLWLD

Kilmarnock

12 2 3 7 13-28 -15 9

DLLWL

Hibernian

11 2 2 7 11-17 -6 8

DLLLD

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	94.8%	5.2%
1.5 goals	79.3%	20.7%
2.5 goals	56.5%	43.5%
3.5 goals	34.1%	65.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Motherwell

Advice: Double chance : draw or Motherwell

Expected goals: 3

Form 63% / 38%

Attack 43% / 57%

Defence 64% / 36%

Poisson 18% / 82%

Head-to-head 29% / 71%

Goals 29% / 71%

Overall 41% / 59.2%

Match Centre

6 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 4

16 Total Shots 15

6 Blocked Shots 4

14 Shots insidebox 10

2 Shots outsidebox 5

9 Fouls 8

5 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 3

52% Ball Possession 48%

1 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

6 Goalkeeper Saves 4

514 Total passes 478

415 Passes accurate 381

81% Passes % 80%

1.51 expected_goals 2.44

-0.83 goals_prevented -0.83

2' ⚽ Home

17' ⚽ Away

33' 🔁 Home

35' 🔁 Home

55' 🟨 Home

56' ⚽ Away

58' ⚽ Home

68' 🔁 Away

69' ⚽ Home

75' 🔁 Away

77' 🔁 Home

81' 🔁 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Kilmarnock 5/6

Motherwell 5/6

Over 2.5

Kilmarnock 4/6

Motherwell 3/6

Over 3.5

Kilmarnock 3/6

Motherwell 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Kilmarnock 4/6

Motherwell 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Kilmarnock

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Motherwell

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Kilmarnock

First goal scored: 45' First goal conceded: 36' First card: 42'

Motherwell

First goal scored: 31' First goal conceded: 19' First card: 47'

Season Statistics

	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Form	LLLLDWDL	WDDWLLLL
Played	8	8
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	5	4
Goals for (avg)	0.9	1.1
Goals against (avg)	2.3	1.6
Clean sheets	2	2
Failed to score	3	4
Biggest win streak	1	1

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Kilmarnock

Total shots 11.7

Blocked 4

54% off target 46% on target

81% inside box 19% outside box

Total passes 365.8

Accurate passes 275.3 (37%)

Possession 43%

Motherwell

Total shots 12.5

Blocked 3.7

51% off target 49% on target

68% inside box 32% outside box

Total passes 527.3

Accurate passes 449.2 (57%)

Possession 56%

Trends

5 match streak · Premiership

Kilmarnock have conceded in each of their last 5 matches in Premiership.

4 match streak · Premiership

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Kilmarnock's last 4 matches in Premiership.

6 match streak · Premiership

Motherwell have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Premiership.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Kilmarnock

H · 31 Oct

ST Johnstone

3/5

A · 8 Nov

Celtic

5/5

H · 21 Nov

Aberdeen

2/5

A · 28 Nov

ST Mirren

2/5

H · 2 Dec

Hibernian

1/5

A · 5 Dec

Motherwell

2/5

H · 12 Dec

Dundee

4/5

A · 19 Dec

Dundee Utd

4/5

Motherwell

A · 28 Oct

ST Johnstone

3/5

H · 31 Oct

ST Mirren

2/5

A · 7 Nov

Dundee Utd

4/5

H · 21 Nov

Rangers

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Hibernian

1/5

A · 2 Dec

Falkirk

3/5

H · 5 Dec

Kilmarnock

1/5

A · 13 Dec

Heart Of Midlothian

4/5

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction & Tips

Kilmarnock took on Motherwell in the Scotland Premiership. Kilmarnock had won 1 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Motherwell have 2 wins and 2 draws from 8.

Our model favoured Motherwell as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 58.3%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 73% win probability.

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell FAQs

When did the match between Kilmarnock and Motherwell take place? +

The match between Kilmarnock and Motherwell took place on Sat, 17th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

Scotland Premiership

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Kilmarnock are 11th on the table, while Motherwell are 9th.

How accurate was the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction & Match Preview

League: Scotland : Premiership

Date: Sat, Oct 17th 2026

Venue: Rugby Park,