VictorsPredict

Alaves Vs Malaga

Alaves Vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

La Liga

Alaves

1 : 1 FT

Oct 23rd

Malaga
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.27
WON

Alaves: Matches Played 10

WLLDL
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Malaga: Matches Played 10

DDLLD
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.62
45% 3.60
10% 5.50

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
20 May 2023 • Segunda División
W
Alaves
2 1
Malaga
18 December 2022 • Segunda División
L
Malaga
1 0
Alaves
6 May 2018 • La Liga
W
Malaga
0 3
Alaves
21 December 2017 • La Liga
W
Alaves
1 0
Malaga
11 March 2017 • La Liga
W
Malaga
1 2
Alaves
16 October 2016 • La Liga
D
Alaves
1 1
Malaga
Last Matches (Alaves)
31 October 2026 • La Liga
L
Barcelona
6 1
Alaves
23 October 2026 • La Liga
D
Alaves
1 1
Malaga
18 October 2026 • La Liga
L
Celta Vigo
2 1
Alaves
10 October 2026 • La Liga
L
Alaves
1 2
Atletico Madrid
19 September 2026 • La Liga
D
Athletic Club
0 0
Alaves
15 September 2026 • La Liga
L
Alaves
0 1
Valencia
12 September 2026 • La Liga
L
Racing Santander
2 1
Alaves
6 September 2026 • La Liga
W
Alaves
5 2
Osasuna
28 August 2026 • La Liga
W
Alaves
1 0
Villarreal
20 August 2026 • La Liga
D
Rayo Vallecano
1 1
Alaves
Last Matches (Malaga)
31 October 2026 • La Liga
L
Real Betis
2 1
Malaga
27 October 2026 • Copa del Rey
W
Alcazar
0 3
Malaga
23 October 2026 • La Liga
D
Alaves
1 1
Malaga
18 October 2026 • La Liga
L
Malaga
2 5
Real Sociedad
9 October 2026 • La Liga
D
Malaga
1 1
Espanyol
20 September 2026 • La Liga
L
Getafe
1 0
Malaga
17 September 2026 • La Liga
L
Malaga
1 3
Villarreal
13 September 2026 • La Liga
D
Celta Vigo
1 1
Malaga
6 September 2026 • La Liga
D
Malaga
0 0
Levante
30 August 2026 • La Liga
L
Real Madrid
4 0
Malaga

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 46-12 34 30
WLWWW
2
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 22-8 14 28
WWWWW
3
Real Madrid
11 9 0 2 28-10 18 27
WWWWL
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 18-15 3 23
WDLWD
5
Real Sociedad
10 6 1 3 19-18 1 19
WWWWL
6
Sevilla
11 5 2 4 17-19 -2 17
LWLDL
7
Athletic Club
9 3 3 3 12-9 3 12
WLDDD
8
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 15-15 0 12
LWDLW
9
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 10-10 0 12
LDWDW
10
Alaves
11 3 3 5 15-17 -2 12
LDLLD
11
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 15-20 -5 12
WLDDW
12
Getafe
11 3 3 5 8-16 -8 12
WLDLW
13
Deportivo La Coruna
10 2 5 3 13-13 0 11
LDLDL
14
Espanyol
11 3 2 6 13-14 -1 11
WLLDL
15
Osasuna
10 3 2 5 10-20 -10 11
LWLDL
16
Racing Santander
11 3 2 6 15-29 -14 11
LWLDL
17
Elche
10 2 4 4 14-17 -3 10
WDDWL
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 16-21 -5 10
LLWDD
19
Valencia
10 1 3 6 7-17 -10 6
LDDLW
20
Malaga
11 0 5 6 8-21 -13 5
LDLDL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals
Raphinha
Barcelona
10 15
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
10 11
Lamine Yamal
Barcelona
11 10
M. Zabiri
Racing Santander
10 8
Sergio Camello
Rayo Vallecano
11 7
A. Budimir
Osasuna
10 7
Roberto Fernández
Espanyol
11 6
Fer Niño
Elche
10 6
Fermín
Barcelona
10 5
Álex Baena
Atletico Madrid
11 5
P. Aubameyang
Deportivo La Coruna
7 5
Brugui
Levante
10 5
Adrián Niño Heredia
Malaga
7 5
Marc Aguado
Elche
3 1
L. Boyé
Alaves
10 5
M. Díaz
Alaves
11 4
Mikel Rodriguez
Alaves
1 1
Aitor Paredes
Athletic Club
1 1
Kike Barja
Osasuna
2 1
E. Bardeli
Levante
3 1
Peque Fernández
Sevilla
1 1
Álex Grimaldo
Atletico Madrid
10 4
Iago Aspas
Celta Vigo
2 1
Buba Sangaré
Elche
3 1
Jon Guridi
Sevilla
1 1
Guevara
Alaves
1 0
Álex Calatrava
Espanyol
2 1
J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
10 3
Jon Ander Olasagasti
Levante
3 1
N. Tenaglia
Alaves
3 1
Andrés Martín
Racing Santander
1 1
Carles Aleñá
Alaves
1 0
G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
11 3
Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
11 3
P. Gueye
Villarreal
8 3
Alberto Moleiro
Villarreal
7 2
Javier Hernandez
Espanyol
1 0
A. Freeman
Villarreal
1 0
L. Amatucci
Deportivo La Coruna
1 0
Lee Kang-In
Atletico Madrid
6 2
Jorge de Frutos
Rayo Vallecano
2 0
Isaac
Sevilla
8 3
Oso
Sevilla
2 1
Pablo García
Real Betis
3 1
Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid
5 1
K. Adeyemi
Barcelona
7 2
A. Güler
Real Madrid
4 1
N. Pépé
Villarreal
5 2
T. Dolan
Espanyol
2 1
Sergio Martínez
Racing Santander
0 1
Rafel Bauzà
Espanyol
1 0
G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
1 0
Robert Navarro
Athletic Club
4 2
Manu Bueno
Sevilla
1 0
Luismi Cruz
Deportivo La Coruna
4 1
Gonzalo Villar
Elche
1 0
L. Sučić
Real Sociedad
9 3
J. David
Atletico Madrid
6 3
Rodrigo Riquelme
Real Betis
5 2
Iván Romero
Levante
10 3
A. Ezzalzouli
Real Betis
6 3
Gabriel Jesus
Barcelona
5 3
C. Ejuke
Sevilla
3 1
E. Ünal
Getafe
2 1
Carlos Espí
Real Madrid
2 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.6%7.4%
1.5 goals73.3%26.7%
2.5 goals48.1%51.9%
3.5 goals26.4%73.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Alaves

Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw

Expected goals: 2.6

Form 33% / 67%
Attack 38% / 63%
Defence 61% / 39%
Poisson 93% / 7%
Head-to-head 80% / 20%
Goals 73% / 27%
Overall 63% / 37.2%

Match Centre

367 Passes accurate 385
12 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 2
6 Blocked Shots 0
12 Free Kicks 14
4 Shots on Goal 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
8 Shots off Goal 4
424 Total passes 465
18 Total Shots 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
7 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 12
0 Red Cards 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
1.55 expected_goals 0.49
39' 🟨 Home
44' ⚽ Away
45' 🔁 Home
55' 🔁 Home
55' 🔁 Home
66' 🔁 Home
67' 🟨 Home
68' 🔁 Away
68' 🔁 Away
75' 🔁 Home
77' 🔁 Away
77' 🔁 Away
84' 🟨 Away
87' 🔁 Away
89' ⚽ Home
90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Alaves 4/6
Malaga 5/6

Over 2.5

Alaves 3/6
Malaga 3/6

Over 3.5

Alaves 1/6
Malaga 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Alaves 4/6
Malaga 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Alaves

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Malaga

0-15
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
3
76+

Average Event Minute

Alaves

First goal scored: 76' First goal conceded: 43' First card: 39'

Malaga

First goal scored: 65' First goal conceded: 46' First card: 49'

Season Statistics

AlavesMalaga
Form
WDWWLLDLL
LDLDDLLDL
Played99
Wins30
Draws24
Losses45
Goals for (avg)1.40.7
Goals against (avg)1.12
Clean sheets31
Failed to score24
Biggest win streak20

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Alaves

Total shots 11.7
Blocked 3.5
56% off target 44% on target
68% inside box 32% outside box
Total passes 353.5
Accurate passes 283.8 (26%)
Possession 41%

Malaga

Total shots 12
Blocked 2.6
49% off target 51% on target
63% inside box 37% outside box
Total passes 456
Accurate passes 391.6 (52%)
Possession 47%

Trends

4 match streak · La Liga

Alaves have scored in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.

4 match streak · La Liga

Alaves have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.

4 match streak · La Liga

Both teams have scored in each of Alaves's last 4 matches in La Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Alaves

A · 3 Nov

Anaitasuna

Unrated

A · 6 Nov

Sevilla

4/5

H · 22 Nov

Deportivo La Coruna

2/5

A · 29 Nov

Real Madrid

5/5

H · 6 Dec

Espanyol

2/5

A · 13 Dec

Levante

1/5

H · 20 Dec

Elche

2/5

A · 3 Jan

Real Betis

4/5

Malaga

H · 7 Nov

Racing Santander

2/5

A · 22 Nov

Osasuna

2/5

H · 29 Nov

Athletic Club

4/5

A · 6 Dec

Sevilla

4/5

H · 13 Dec

Barcelona

5/5

A · 20 Dec

Rayo Vallecano

3/5

H · 3 Jan

Elche

2/5

A · 10 Jan

Valencia

1/5

Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Tips

Alaves took on Malaga in the Spain La Liga. Alaves had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 9 league games this season, while Malaga have 0 wins and 4 draws from 9.

Our model favoured Alaves as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 48.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Alaves vs Malaga FAQs

When did the match between Alaves and Malaga take place? +
The match between Alaves and Malaga took place on Fri, 23rd Oct 2026 at 8:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Spain La Liga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Alaves are 10th on the table, while Malaga are 20th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Match Preview

League: Spain : La Liga

Date: Fri, Oct 23rd 2026

Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza,