Alaves Vs Malaga
Alaves Vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
La Liga

1 : 1 FT
Oct 23rd
MalagaAlaves: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Malaga: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
5 Losses
In last 10 games
4 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Alaves
Malaga
Malaga
Alaves
Malaga
Alaves
Last Matches (Alaves)
Barcelona
Alaves
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Athletic Club
Alaves
Racing Santander
Alaves
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Last Matches (Malaga)
Real Betis
Alcazar
Alaves
Malaga
Malaga
Getafe
Malaga
Celta Vigo
Malaga
Real Madrid
League Table
Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Betis
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
Deportivo La Coruna
Espanyol
Osasuna
Racing Santander
Elche
Levante
Valencia
MalagaTop Scorers Table
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| 3.5 goals | 26.4% | 73.6% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
1X
80.2%
12
76%
X2
43.7%
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
1 / 1
35.1%
1 / X
4.4%
1 / 2
1.2%
X / 1
18.6%
X / X
15.1%
X / 2
7.8%
2 / 1
2.6%
2 / X
4.4%
2 / 2
10.8%
Home -1.25
40.2%
odds 2.35
Away -1.25
59.8%
odds 1.58
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 9.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 4.5
44.3%
odds 2.10
Under 4.5
55.7%
odds 1.67
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Alaves
Advice: Double chance : Alaves or draw
Expected goals: 2.6
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Alaves
Malaga
Average Event Minute
Alaves
Malaga
Season Statistics
| Alaves | Malaga | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WDWWLLDLL | LDLDDLLDL |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 0 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Alaves
Malaga
Trends
4 match streak · La Liga
Alaves have scored in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.
4 match streak · La Liga
Alaves have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in La Liga.
4 match streak · La Liga
Both teams have scored in each of Alaves's last 4 matches in La Liga.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Alaves
A · 3 Nov
Anaitasuna
UnratedA · 6 Nov
Sevilla
4/5H · 22 Nov
Deportivo La Coruna
2/5A · 29 Nov
Real Madrid
5/5H · 6 Dec
Espanyol
2/5A · 13 Dec
Levante
1/5H · 20 Dec
Elche
2/5A · 3 Jan
Real Betis
4/5Malaga
H · 7 Nov
Racing Santander
2/5A · 22 Nov
Osasuna
2/5H · 29 Nov
Athletic Club
4/5A · 6 Dec
Sevilla
4/5H · 13 Dec
Barcelona
5/5A · 20 Dec
Rayo Vallecano
3/5H · 3 Jan
Elche
2/5A · 10 Jan
Valencia
1/5Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Tips
Alaves took on Malaga in the Spain La Liga. Alaves had won 3 and drawn 2 of their 9 league games this season, while Malaga have 0 wins and 4 draws from 9.
Our model favoured Alaves as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 48.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 79% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Alaves vs Malaga Prediction & Match Preview
League: Spain : La Liga
Date: Fri, Oct 23rd 2026
Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza,