Millwall Vs Derby

Millwall Vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship

Millwall

4:00 PM

Oct 31st

Derby

Prediction Odds Confidence

Over 1.5 1.22

82%

Millwall: Matches Played 10

DWLDL

3 Wins

In last 10 games

4 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Derby: Matches Played 10

DDLLD

1 Wins

In last 10 games

6 Losses

In last 10 games

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away

45% 1.65

45% 3.80

10% 4.80

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H

10 March 2026 • Championship

Millwall

1 0

Derby

10 December 2025 • Championship

Derby

1 1

Millwall

22 February 2025 • Championship

Derby

0 1

Millwall

19 October 2024 • Championship

Millwall

1 1

Derby

23 February 2022 • Championship

Derby

1 2

Millwall

6 November 2021 • Championship

Millwall

1 1

Derby

13 March 2021 • Championship

Derby

0 1

Millwall

5 December 2020 • Championship

Millwall

0 1

Derby

20 June 2020 • Championship

Millwall

2 3

Derby

14 December 2019 • Championship

Derby

0 1

Millwall

Last Matches (Millwall)

31 October 2026 • Championship

Millwall

4 1

Derby

24 October 2026 • Championship

Portsmouth

2 1

Millwall

17 October 2026 • Championship

Millwall

2 2

Lincoln

13 October 2026 • Championship

Millwall

0 1

Swansea

10 October 2026 • Championship

Preston

0 1

Millwall

19 September 2026 • Championship

Millwall

2 2

West Ham

15 September 2026 • Championship

Middlesbrough

2 2

Millwall

12 September 2026 • Championship

Blackburn

3 1

Millwall

8 September 2026 • League Cup

Millwall

0 1

Newcastle

5 September 2026 • Championship

Millwall

4 0

Bolton

Last Matches (Derby)

31 October 2026 • Championship

Millwall

4 1

Derby

24 October 2026 • Championship

Sheffield Utd

1 1

Derby

17 October 2026 • Championship

Derby

0 1

Stoke City

14 October 2026 • Championship

QPR

4 1

Derby

10 October 2026 • Championship

Derby

1 1

Wrexham

19 September 2026 • Championship

Burnley

1 1

Derby

12 September 2026 • Championship

Derby

1 2

Birmingham

9 September 2026 • Championship

Derby

0 1

West Brom

5 September 2026 • Championship

West Ham

3 0

Derby

1 September 2026 • Championship

Portsmouth

0 2

Derby

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form

Middlesbrough

13 8 4 1 30-17 13 28

WWDWW

Swansea

13 8 2 3 20-13 7 26

WLLWW

Wolves

13 7 3 3 23-16 7 24

WWDWL

West Brom

13 7 3 3 19-14 5 24

WDWWL

Southampton

13 8 3 2 28-13 15 23

WWDWW

Birmingham

13 6 5 2 23-13 10 23

WLWWW

Stoke City

13 7 2 4 20-16 4 23

WDWLW

West Ham

13 6 4 3 33-18 15 22

LLWWD

QPR

13 5 5 3 21-16 5 20

LWLWD

Sheffield Utd

13 5 4 4 17-15 2 19

WDWLW

Portsmouth

13 5 4 4 16-15 1 19

DWDWW

Millwall

13 5 3 5 23-21 2 18

WLDLW

Blackburn

13 5 3 5 19-20 -1 18

LWLWW

Bristol City

13 5 3 5 15-17 -2 18

WDLLD

Norwich

13 5 0 8 23-24 -1 15

WWLLL

Lincoln

13 4 3 6 14-23 -9 15

LWDLL

Cardiff

13 3 5 5 19-20 -1 14

LWDWL

Wrexham

13 3 5 5 15-19 -4 14

LLWLD

Bolton

13 4 2 7 18-26 -8 14

LLDWL

Charlton

13 3 5 5 11-21 -10 14

LLLDD

Watford

13 3 2 8 12-23 -11 11

LLWLL

Burnley

13 1 6 6 17-25 -8 9

DLLDW

Derby

13 1 4 8 11-25 -14 7

LDLLD

Preston

13 1 2 10 10-27 -17 5

LDLLL

See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

Line	Over	Under
0.5 goals	94.8%	5.2%
1.5 goals	79.3%	20.7%
2.5 goals	56.5%	43.5%
3.5 goals	34.1%	65.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Millwall

Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw

Expected goals: 3

Form 63% / 38%

Attack 60% / 40%

Defence 53% / 47%

Poisson 67% / 33%

Head-to-head 85% / 15%

Goals 67% / 33%

Overall 65.8% / 34.3%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Millwall 4/6

Derby 5/6

Over 2.5

Millwall 4/6

Derby 2/6

Over 3.5

Millwall 3/6

Derby 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Millwall 4/6

Derby 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Millwall

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Derby

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76+

Average Event Minute

Millwall

First goal scored: 33' First goal conceded: 54' First card: 36'

Derby

First goal scored: 63' First goal conceded: 45' First card: 39'

Season Statistics

	Millwall	Derby
Form	WWLLWLDDWLDL	LDLWLLLDDLLD
Played	12	12
Wins	4	1
Draws	3	4
Losses	5	7
Goals for (avg)	1.6	0.8
Goals against (avg)	1.7	1.8
Clean sheets	4	1
Failed to score	2	4
Biggest win streak	2	1

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Millwall

Total shots 14.7

Blocked 3.7

55% off target 45% on target

71% inside box 29% outside box

Total passes 370.3

Accurate passes 273.8 (10%)

Possession 55%

Derby

Total shots 13.8

Blocked 4.5

52% off target 48% on target

66% inside box 34% outside box

Total passes 381.3

Accurate passes 292.2 (51%)

Possession 47%

Trends

3 match streak · Championship

Millwall have scored in each of their last 3 matches in Championship.

4 match streak · Championship

Millwall have conceded in each of their last 4 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Both teams have scored in each of Millwall's last 3 matches in Championship.

3 match streak · Championship

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Millwall's last 3 matches in Championship.

9 match streak · Championship

Derby have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Millwall

A · 3 Nov

Birmingham

4/5

A · 7 Nov

West Brom

4/5

H · 21 Nov

QPR

4/5

A · 25 Nov

Stoke City

4/5

H · 28 Nov

Burnley

1/5

A · 5 Dec

Watford

2/5

H · 8 Dec

Sheffield Utd

3/5

A · 12 Dec

Wolves

5/5

Derby

H · 3 Nov

Norwich

3/5

H · 6 Nov

Bolton

2/5

A · 21 Nov

Southampton

4/5

A · 24 Nov

Wolves

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Watford

2/5

A · 5 Dec

Middlesbrough

5/5

H · 9 Dec

Bristol City

3/5

A · 12 Dec

Blackburn

3/5

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Tips

Millwall takes on Derby in the England Championship on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Millwall have won 4 and drawn 3 of their 12 league games this season, while Derby have 1 wins and 4 draws from 12.

Our model favours Millwall as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 58.3%. The published tip for this match is Over 1.5 at a 82% win probability.

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Millwall vs Derby FAQs

When is the match between Millwall and Derby? +

The match between Millwall and Derby is scheduled for Sat, 31st Oct 2026 at 4:00 PM.

Which league is this match in? +

England Championship

What is their ranking in the league table this season? +

Millwall are 12th on the table, while Derby are 23rd.

How accurate is the prediction for this match? +

The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.

Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +

Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.

How often are predictions updated? +

Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 31st 2026

Venue: The Den,