VictorsPredict

Derby Vs Wrexham

Derby Vs Wrexham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Championship

Derby

1 : 1 FT

Oct 10th

Wrexham
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.24
WON

Derby: Matches Played 10

WLLLD
W

1 Wins

In last 10 games

L

6 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Wrexham: Matches Played 10

WDDLW
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

4 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 2.80
45% 3.10
45% 2.45

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
4 January 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
1 2
Wrexham
27 September 2025 • Championship
D
Wrexham
1 1
Derby
Last Matches (Derby)
31 October 2026 • Championship
L
Millwall
4 1
Derby
24 October 2026 • Championship
D
Sheffield Utd
1 1
Derby
17 October 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
0 1
Stoke City
14 October 2026 • Championship
L
QPR
4 1
Derby
10 October 2026 • Championship
D
Derby
1 1
Wrexham
19 September 2026 • Championship
D
Burnley
1 1
Derby
12 September 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
1 2
Birmingham
9 September 2026 • Championship
L
Derby
0 1
West Brom
5 September 2026 • Championship
L
West Ham
3 0
Derby
1 September 2026 • Championship
W
Portsmouth
0 2
Derby
Last Matches (Wrexham)
24 October 2026 • Championship
L
Blackburn
2 0
Wrexham
17 October 2026 • Championship
W
Wrexham
4 1
Preston
13 October 2026 • Championship
L
Wrexham
1 2
West Brom
10 October 2026 • Championship
D
Derby
1 1
Wrexham
19 September 2026 • Championship
W
Wrexham
2 1
Southampton
11 September 2026 • Championship
L
West Ham
6 0
Wrexham
8 September 2026 • Championship
D
Wrexham
1 1
Burnley
5 September 2026 • Championship
D
Swansea
0 0
Wrexham
2 September 2026 • Championship
W
Millwall
0 3
Wrexham
28 August 2026 • Championship
L
Wrexham
1 2
Birmingham

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Middlesbrough
13 8 4 1 30-17 13 28
WWDWW
2
Swansea
13 8 2 3 20-13 7 26
WLLWW
3
Wolves
13 7 3 3 23-16 7 24
WWDWL
4
West Brom
13 7 3 3 19-14 5 24
WDWWL
5
Southampton
13 8 3 2 28-13 15 23
WWDWW
6
Birmingham
13 6 5 2 23-13 10 23
WLWWW
7
Stoke City
13 7 2 4 20-16 4 23
WDWLW
8
West Ham
13 6 4 3 33-18 15 22
LLWWD
9
QPR
13 5 5 3 21-16 5 20
LWLWD
10
Sheffield Utd
13 5 4 4 17-15 2 19
WDWLW
11
Portsmouth
13 5 4 4 16-15 1 19
DWDWW
12
Millwall
13 5 3 5 23-21 2 18
WLDLW
13
Blackburn
13 5 3 5 19-20 -1 18
LWLWW
14
Bristol City
13 5 3 5 15-17 -2 18
WDLLD
15
Norwich
13 5 0 8 23-24 -1 15
WWLLL
16
Lincoln
13 4 3 6 14-23 -9 15
LWDLL
17
Cardiff
13 3 5 5 19-20 -1 14
LWDWL
18
Wrexham
13 3 5 5 15-19 -4 14
LLWLD
19
Bolton
13 4 2 7 18-26 -8 14
LLDWL
20
Charlton
13 3 5 5 11-21 -10 14
LLLDD
21
Watford
13 3 2 8 12-23 -11 11
LLWLL
22
Burnley
13 1 6 6 17-25 -8 9
DLLDW
23
Derby
13 1 4 8 11-25 -14 7
LDLLD
24
Preston
13 1 2 10 10-27 -17 5
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.9%7.1%
1.5 goals74.2%25.8%
2.5 goals49.4%50.6%
3.5 goals27.5%72.5%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Wrexham

Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham

Expected goals: 2.6

Form 33% / 67%
Attack 40% / 60%
Defence 53% / 47%
Poisson 34% / 66%
Head-to-head 20% / 80%
Goals 40% / 60%
Overall 36.7% / 63.3%

Match Centre

4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 5
10 Total Shots 13
1 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 3
10 Fouls 6
1 Corner Kicks 8
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
397 Total passes 469
302 Passes accurate 375
76% Passes % 80%
0.60 expected_goals 1.46
-0.59 goals_prevented -0.59
5' 🟨 Home
9' ⚽ Home
15' 🔁 Away
52' 🟨 Home
64' 🔁 Away
64' 🔁 Away
71' 🟨 Away
72' 🔁 Home
72' 🔁 Home
74' 🟨 Home
84' 🔁 Home
84' 🔁 Home
85' 🔁 Away
85' 🔁 Away
88' ⚽ Away
90' 🟨 Away

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Derby 5/6
Wrexham 6/6

Over 2.5

Derby 2/6
Wrexham 4/6

Over 3.5

Derby 2/6
Wrexham 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Derby 5/6
Wrexham 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Derby

1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Wrexham

0-15
16-30
3
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Derby

First goal scored: 63' First goal conceded: 45' First card: 39'

Wrexham

First goal scored: 55' First goal conceded: 41' First card: 58'

Season Statistics

DerbyWrexham
Form
LDLWLLLD
DDLWDDLW
Played88
Wins12
Draws24
Losses52
Goals for (avg)0.91.1
Goals against (avg)1.81.5
Clean sheets12
Failed to score32
Biggest win streak11

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Derby

Total shots 13.8
Blocked 4.5
52% off target 48% on target
66% inside box 34% outside box
Total passes 381.3
Accurate passes 292.2 (51%)
Possession 47%

Wrexham

Total shots 13
Blocked 4.8
62% off target 38% on target
70% inside box 30% outside box
Total passes 424
Accurate passes 335.5 (54%)
Possession 48%

Trends

9 match streak · Championship

Derby have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Championship.

7 match streak · Championship

Wrexham have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Derby

H · 3 Nov

Norwich

3/5

H · 6 Nov

Bolton

2/5

A · 21 Nov

Southampton

4/5

A · 24 Nov

Wolves

5/5

H · 28 Nov

Watford

2/5

A · 5 Dec

Middlesbrough

5/5

H · 9 Dec

Bristol City

3/5

A · 12 Dec

Blackburn

3/5

Wrexham

A · 30 Oct

Sheffield Utd

3/5

H · 4 Nov

Middlesbrough

5/5

H · 7 Nov

Wolves

5/5

A · 21 Nov

Lincoln

2/5

A · 24 Nov

Bristol City

3/5

H · 28 Nov

Portsmouth

3/5

A · 5 Dec

Norwich

3/5

H · 8 Dec

Charlton

2/5

Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Tips

Derby took on Wrexham in the England Championship. Derby had won 1 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Wrexham have 2 wins and 4 draws from 8.

Our model favoured Wrexham as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 53.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 81% win probability.

G

Published by

Goodluck Basil

Football Analyst & Predictor

Derby vs Wrexham FAQs

When did the match between Derby and Wrexham take place? +
The match between Derby and Wrexham took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 3:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
England Championship
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Derby are 23rd on the table, while Wrexham are 18th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Pride Park,