Derby Vs Wrexham
Derby Vs Wrexham Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Championship

1 : 1 FT
Oct 10th
WrexhamDerby: Matches Played 10
1 Wins
In last 10 games
6 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Wrexham: Matches Played 10
3 Wins
In last 10 games
4 Losses
In last 10 games
3 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Derby
Wrexham
Last Matches (Derby)
Millwall
Sheffield Utd
Derby
QPR
Derby
Burnley
Derby
Derby
West Ham
Portsmouth
Last Matches (Wrexham)
Blackburn
Wrexham
Wrexham
Derby
Wrexham
West Ham
Wrexham
Swansea
Millwall
Wrexham
League Table
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Wolves
West Brom
Southampton
Birmingham
Stoke City
West Ham
QPR
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
Millwall
Blackburn
Bristol City
Norwich
Lincoln
Cardiff
Wrexham
Bolton
Charlton
Watford
Burnley
Derby
PrestonTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| 1.5 goals | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| 2.5 goals | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 3.5 goals | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
1X
57.1%
12
74.1%
X2
68.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
2-2
5.3%
1 / 1
17.9%
1 / X
5.1%
1 / 2
2.4%
X / 1
11.5%
X / X
15.7%
X / 2
14.9%
2 / 1
1.9%
2 / X
5.1%
2 / 2
25.6%
Home -1.25
16.5%
odds 5.75
Away -1.25
83.5%
odds 1.14
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 10.5
51.5%
odds 1.80
Under 10.5
48.5%
odds 1.91
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
55.7%
odds 1.67
Under 3.5
44.3%
odds 2.10
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Wrexham
Advice: Double chance : draw or Wrexham
Expected goals: 2.6
Match Centre
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Derby
Wrexham
Average Event Minute
Derby
Wrexham
Season Statistics
| Derby | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | LDLWLLLD | DDLWDDLW |
| Played | 8 | 8 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win streak | 1 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Derby
Wrexham
Trends
9 match streak · Championship
Derby have conceded in each of their last 9 matches in Championship.
7 match streak · Championship
Wrexham have conceded in each of their last 7 matches in Championship.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Derby
H · 3 Nov
Norwich
3/5H · 6 Nov
Bolton
2/5A · 21 Nov
Southampton
4/5A · 24 Nov
Wolves
5/5H · 28 Nov
Watford
2/5A · 5 Dec
Middlesbrough
5/5H · 9 Dec
Bristol City
3/5A · 12 Dec
Blackburn
3/5Wrexham
A · 30 Oct
Sheffield Utd
3/5H · 4 Nov
Middlesbrough
5/5H · 7 Nov
Wolves
5/5A · 21 Nov
Lincoln
2/5A · 24 Nov
Bristol City
3/5H · 28 Nov
Portsmouth
3/5A · 5 Dec
Norwich
3/5H · 8 Dec
Charlton
2/5Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Tips
Derby took on Wrexham in the England Championship. Derby had won 1 and drawn 2 of their 8 league games this season, while Wrexham have 2 wins and 4 draws from 8.
Our model favoured Wrexham as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 53.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 81% win probability.
Published by
Goodluck Basil
Football Analyst & Predictor
Derby vs Wrexham FAQs
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Match Preview
Derby vs Wrexham Prediction & Match Preview
League: England : Championship
Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026
Venue: Pride Park,