VictorsPredict

Baglan Dragons Vs Pontypridd Town

Baglan Dragons Vs Pontypridd Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

FAW Championship

Baglan Dragons

1 : 1 FT

Oct 10th

Pontypridd Town
Prediction Odds Confidence
Under 3.5 1.36
WON

Baglan Dragons: Matches Played 10

LWLLW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Pontypridd Town: Matches Played 10

DLWLW
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

3 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 2.70
45% 3.60
45% 2.10

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
21 February 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Pontypridd Town
2 0
Baglan Dragons
27 July 2025 • FAW Championship
W
Baglan Dragons
3 0
Pontypridd Town
17 January 2025 • FAW Championship
L
Pontypridd Town
1 0
Baglan Dragons
26 October 2024 • FAW Championship
D
Baglan Dragons
2 2
Pontypridd Town
Last Matches (Baglan Dragons)
17 October 2026 • Welsh Cup
W
Llantwit Fardre
1 3
Baglan Dragons
10 October 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Baglan Dragons
1 1
Pontypridd Town
2 October 2026 • FAW Championship
W
llanelli AFC
1 2
Baglan Dragons
25 September 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Baglan Dragons
1 2
Carmarthen Town
12 September 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Cardiff Draconians
2 1
Baglan Dragons
4 September 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Baglan Dragons
2 1
Afan Lido
31 August 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Baglan Dragons
0 1
Caerphilly Athletic
28 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Baglan Dragons
3 1
Caerau (Ely)
21 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Newport City
0 1
Baglan Dragons
15 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Llantwit Major
0 1
Baglan Dragons
Last Matches (Pontypridd Town)
23 October 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Newport City
4 4
Pontypridd Town
10 October 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Baglan Dragons
1 1
Pontypridd Town
6 October 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Pontypridd Town
4 1
Llantwit Major
3 October 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Pontypridd Town
1 3
Aberystwyth Town
25 September 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Caerphilly Athletic
1 2
Pontypridd Town
11 September 2026 • FAW Championship
L
Pontypridd Town
0 1
Afan Lido
28 August 2026 • FAW Championship
D
Swansea University
4 4
Pontypridd Town
21 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Pontypridd Town
2 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
15 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Cardiff Draconians
1 4
Pontypridd Town
7 August 2026 • FAW Championship
W
Pontypridd Town
3 2
Pontardawe Town

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Pontypridd Town
12 7 3 2 32-21 11 24
WDDWL
2
Aberystwyth Town
10 7 1 2 24-10 14 22
WLWDW
3
Caerau (Ely)
12 7 1 4 23-20 3 22
WLWWW
4
Swansea University
10 6 3 1 32-15 17 21
LDWDW
5
Ynyshir Albions
10 5 4 1 19-11 8 19
WWWDD
6
Baglan Dragons
12 5 2 5 12-13 -1 17
LDWLL
7
Trethomas Bluebirds
12 4 4 4 24-21 3 16
LWWLD
8
Treowen Stars
11 5 1 5 20-21 -1 16
WLLLD
9
Carmarthen Town
12 4 3 5 24-26 -2 15
LLDLW
10
Afan Lido
13 4 3 6 21-24 -3 15
LWDLD
11
Caerphilly Athletic
12 4 2 6 15-21 -6 14
LWWLL
12
Pontardawe Town
10 4 1 5 17-18 -1 13
WDWWL
13
Newport City
10 3 3 4 19-15 4 12
WDLDD
14
Cardiff Draconians
10 3 3 4 14-17 -3 12
WLDDL
15
Llantwit Major
11 3 2 6 12-24 -12 11
LWDLW
16
llanelli AFC
13 0 2 11 9-40 -31 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3.3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals96.3%3.7%
1.5 goals84.1%15.9%
2.5 goals64%36%
3.5 goals42%58%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Pontypridd Town

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town and +1.5 goals

Expected goals: 3.3

Form 46% / 54%
Attack 35% / 65%
Defence 59% / 41%
Poisson 30% / 70%
Head-to-head 36% / 64%
Goals 50% / 50%
Overall 42.7% / 57.3%

Match Centre

52' ⚽ Away
85' ⚽ Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Baglan Dragons 6/6
Pontypridd Town 5/6

Over 2.5

Baglan Dragons 5/6
Pontypridd Town 4/6

Over 3.5

Baglan Dragons 1/6
Pontypridd Town 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Baglan Dragons 6/6
Pontypridd Town 5/6

Goals By Time Period

Baglan Dragons

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
3
76+

Pontypridd Town

2
0-15
3
16-30
2
31-45
3
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Average Event Minute

Baglan Dragons

First goal scored: 83' First goal conceded: 32' First card: —

Pontypridd Town

First goal scored: 30' First goal conceded: 51' First card: —

Season Statistics

Baglan DragonsPontypridd Town
Form
DLWWWLWLLW
WWWWDLWLW
Played109
Wins56
Draws11
Losses42
Goals for (avg)1.12.6
Goals against (avg)1.11.8
Clean sheets30
Failed to score31
Biggest win streak34

Trends

3 match streak · FAW Championship

Pontypridd Town are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in FAW Championship.

5 match streak · FAW Championship

Pontypridd Town have scored in each of their last 5 matches in FAW Championship.

10 match streak · FAW Championship

Pontypridd Town have conceded in each of their last 10 matches in FAW Championship.

5 match streak · FAW Championship

Both teams have scored in each of Pontypridd Town's last 5 matches in FAW Championship.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Baglan Dragons

H · 24 Oct

Aberystwyth Town

5/5

H · 30 Oct

Treowen Stars

3/5

H · 6 Nov

Ynyshir Albions

4/5

H · 14 Nov

Barry Town

Unrated

A · 21 Nov

Pontardawe Town

2/5

A · 27 Nov

Caerphilly Athletic

2/5

A · 4 Dec

Pontypridd Town

5/5

H · 18 Dec

Cardiff Draconians

2/5

Pontypridd Town

H · 30 Oct

llanelli AFC

1/5

A · 6 Nov

Caerau (Ely)

4/5

H · 20 Nov

Carmarthen Town

3/5

A · 28 Nov

Aberystwyth Town

5/5

H · 4 Dec

Baglan Dragons

4/5

H · 18 Dec

Ynyshir Albions

4/5

A · 26 Dec

Llantwit Major

1/5

H · 2 Jan

Treowen Stars

3/5

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town Prediction & Tips

Baglan Dragons took on Pontypridd Town in the Wales FAW Championship. Baglan Dragons had won 5 and drawn 1 of their 10 league games this season, while Pontypridd Town have 6 wins and 1 draws from 9.

Our model favoured Pontypridd Town as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3.3, with both teams to score rated at 64.5%. The published tip for this match was Under 3.5 at a 74% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town FAQs

When did the match between Baglan Dragons and Pontypridd Town take place? +
The match between Baglan Dragons and Pontypridd Town took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 2:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Wales FAW Championship
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Baglan Dragons are 6th on the table, while Pontypridd Town are 1st.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Baglan Dragons vs Pontypridd Town Prediction & Match Preview

League: Wales : FAW Championship

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: ,