VictorsPredict

Derry City Vs St Patrick's Athl.

Derry City Vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier Division

Derry City

7:45 PM

Oct 9th

St Patrick's Athl.
Prediction Odds Confidence
X2 1.34
75%

Derry City: Matches Played 10

LDWDW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

St Patrick's Athl.: Matches Played 10

WLWWW
W

5 Wins

In last 10 games

L

3 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
10% 2.96
45% 3.30
45% 2.30

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
2 August 2026 • Premier Division
D
St Patrick's Athl.
1 1
Derry City
22 May 2026 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
0 0
St Patrick's Athl.
16 March 2026 • Premier Division
D
St Patrick's Athl.
0 0
Derry City
29 August 2025 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
2 2
St Patrick's Athl.
23 June 2025 • Premier Division
W
St Patrick's Athl.
0 1
Derry City
5 May 2025 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
1 0
St Patrick's Athl.
3 March 2025 • Premier Division
L
St Patrick's Athl.
2 0
Derry City
25 October 2024 • Premier Division
L
St Patrick's Athl.
1 0
Derry City
21 July 2024 • FAI Cup
W
Derry City
3 0
St Patrick's Athl.
17 May 2024 • Premier Division
W
St Patrick's Athl.
0 1
Derry City
Last Matches (Derry City)
23 October 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
2 1
Dundalk
19 October 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
1 0
St Patrick's Athl.
16 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
Drogheda United
2 0
Derry City
10 October 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Galway United
0 2
Derry City
18 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Derry City
1 0
Galway United
14 September 2026 • Premier Division
D
Waterford
2 2
Derry City
11 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Shelbourne
0 1
Derry City
6 September 2026 • FAI Cup
W
Derry City
4 2
Dundalk
30 August 2026 • Premier Division
D
Derry City
3 3
Shamrock Rovers
21 August 2026 • Premier Division
L
Bohemians
5 3
Derry City
Last Matches (St Patrick's Athl.)
23 October 2026 • Premier Division
D
Galway United
0 0
St Patrick's Athl.
19 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
Derry City
1 0
St Patrick's Athl.
16 October 2026 • Premier Division
L
St Patrick's Athl.
1 2
Shelbourne
19 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Sligo Rovers
0 1
St Patrick's Athl.
14 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
Dundalk
0 4
St Patrick's Athl.
11 September 2026 • Premier Division
W
St Patrick's Athl.
2 0
Shamrock Rovers
28 August 2026 • Premier Division
L
St Patrick's Athl.
0 2
Waterford
21 August 2026 • Premier Division
W
Drogheda United
0 2
St Patrick's Athl.
9 August 2026 • Premier Division
W
Shelbourne
1 2
St Patrick's Athl.
2 August 2026 • Premier Division
D
St Patrick's Athl.
1 1
Derry City

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Shamrock Rovers
35 20 8 7 58-35 23 68
WLWWW
2
Bohemians
35 18 8 9 60-42 18 62
LWLWW
3
St Patrick's Athl.
35 17 9 9 53-28 25 60
DLLWW
4
Shelbourne
35 12 13 10 50-47 3 49
WWWDW
5
Derry City
35 11 14 10 48-45 3 47
WWLWD
6
Galway United
35 10 12 13 46-51 -5 42
DLWDL
7
Dundalk
35 10 12 13 52-58 -6 42
LDLLL
8
Waterford
35 9 13 13 51-59 -8 40
WWLLD
9
Drogheda United
35 9 10 16 42-57 -15 37
LWLLW
10
Sligo Rovers
35 5 9 21 26-64 -38 24
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.5

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.2%7.8%
1.5 goals72.3%27.7%
2.5 goals46.9%53.1%
3.5 goals25.3%74.7%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: St Patrick's Athl.

Advice: Double chance : draw or St Patrick's Athl.

Expected goals: 2.5

Form 40% / 60%
Attack 53% / 47%
Defence 17% / 83%
Poisson 47% / 53%
Head-to-head 64% / 36%
Goals 57% / 43%
Overall 46.3% / 53.7%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Derry City 4/6
St Patrick's Athl. 3/6

Over 2.5

Derry City 2/6
St Patrick's Athl. 2/6

Over 3.5

Derry City 1/6
St Patrick's Athl. 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Derry City 2/6
St Patrick's Athl. 1/6

Goals By Time Period

Derry City

2
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
76+

St Patrick's Athl.

1
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Derry City

First goal scored: 31' First goal conceded: 44' First card: 30'

St Patrick's Athl.

First goal scored: 40' First goal conceded: 56' First card: 64'

Season Statistics

Derry CitySt Patrick's Athl.
Form
WDLWLLDDLDDWWDDLDDDLWLDWLDWLDWDW
DLWWWWDWWLLWWDDWLDLWWLWDDDWWLWWW
Played3232
Wins917
Draws148
Losses97
Goals for (avg)1.41.6
Goals against (avg)1.30.8
Clean sheets913
Failed to score710
Biggest win streak24

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 5 matches.

Derry City

Total shots 16
Blocked 6.6
56% off target 44% on target
47% inside box 53% outside box
Total passes 509.6
Accurate passes 416.6 (17%)
Possession 62%

St Patrick's Athl.

Total shots 18.4
Blocked 5.6
65% off target 35% on target
63% inside box 37% outside box
Total passes 464
Accurate passes 360.8 (15%)
Possession 55%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Derry City

A · 30 Oct

Sligo Rovers

1/5

H · 8 Nov

Waterford

2/5

St Patrick's Athl.

H · 30 Oct

Bohemians

5/5

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Tips

Derry City takes on St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland Premier Division on Friday, 9 October 2026. Derry City have won 9 and drawn 14 of their 32 league games this season, while St Patrick's Athl. have 17 wins and 8 draws from 32.

Our model favours St Patrick's Athl. as the more likely side (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.5, with both teams to score rated at 51.1%. The published tip for this match is X2 at a 75% win probability.

P

Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. FAQs

When is the match between Derry City and St Patrick's Athl.? +
The match between Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. is scheduled for Fri, 9th Oct 2026 at 7:45 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Ireland Premier Division
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Derry City are 5th on the table, while St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd.
How accurate is the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match is based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Is the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. Prediction & Match Preview

League: Ireland : Premier Division

Date: Fri, Oct 9th 2026

Venue: The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium,