VictorsPredict

Riga Vs Super Nova

Riga Vs Super Nova Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Virsliga

Riga

2 : 1 FT

Oct 18th

Super Nova
Prediction Odds Confidence
Over 2.5 1.28
WON

Riga: Matches Played 10

DDWWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

0 Losses

In last 10 games

D

4 Draws

In last 10 games

Super Nova: Matches Played 10

WLLWL
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

5 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
50% 1.11
50% 8.00
0% 19.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
15 September 2026 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
0 1
Riga
24 May 2026 • Virsliga
W
Riga
3 0
Super Nova
14 April 2026 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
1 4
Riga
30 August 2025 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
2 6
Riga
22 June 2025 • Virsliga
W
Riga
2 0
Super Nova
1 May 2025 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
1 5
Riga
6 March 2025 • Virsliga
W
Riga
2 0
Super Nova
29 October 2023 • Virsliga
D
Riga
1 1
Super Nova
6 August 2023 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
1 5
Riga
Last Matches (Riga)
1 November 2026 • Virsliga
D
Ogre United
0 0
Riga
26 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
Grobiņa
2 5
Riga
22 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
D
Pafos
1 1
Riga
18 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
Riga
2 1
Super Nova
15 October 2026 • UEFA Europa Conference League
D
Riga
1 1
Kairat Almaty
10 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
Tukums
0 2
Riga
3 October 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Aris
1 2
Riga
19 September 2026 • Virsliga
W
FS Jelgava
0 1
Riga
15 September 2026 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
0 1
Riga
11 September 2026 • Virsliga
D
Riga
2 2
Auda
Last Matches (Super Nova)
25 October 2026 • Virsliga
L
Super Nova
0 3
Rīgas FS
18 October 2026 • Virsliga
L
Riga
2 1
Super Nova
15 October 2026 • Virsliga
L
Rīgas FS
4 0
Super Nova
10 October 2026 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
2 1
Grobiņa
20 September 2026 • Virsliga
L
Ogre United
1 0
Super Nova
15 September 2026 • Virsliga
L
Super Nova
0 1
Riga
10 September 2026 • Virsliga
W
Super Nova
1 0
Tukums
5 September 2026 • Virsliga
W
FS Jelgava
0 1
Super Nova
29 August 2026 • Virsliga
D
Auda
1 1
Super Nova
22 August 2026 • Virsliga
D
Super Nova
0 0
BFC Daugavpils

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Rīgas FS
34 27 5 2 84-24 60 86
WWWWD
2
Riga
34 25 7 2 95-33 62 82
WWWWW
3
Auda
34 20 7 7 57-35 22 67
WLWDW
4
BFC Daugavpils
34 13 9 12 40-37 3 48
WWWDL
5
FK Liepaja
34 13 8 13 46-46 0 47
DWLDD
6
Super Nova
34 11 5 18 32-50 -18 38
LLLWL
7
FS Jelgava
34 8 8 18 34-57 -23 32
LLLLD
8
Grobiņa
34 6 11 17 27-61 -34 29
LWLDD
9
Tukums
34 5 10 19 44-65 -21 25
DLLDL
10
Ogre United
34 4 6 24 34-85 -51 18
LLLWL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 3

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals95.2%4.8%
1.5 goals80.8%19.2%
2.5 goals58.8%41.2%
3.5 goals36.4%63.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Riga

Advice: Double chance : Riga or draw

Expected goals: 3

Form 65% / 35%
Attack 70% / 30%
Defence 70% / 30%
Poisson 78% / 22%
Head-to-head 100% / 0%
Goals 84% / 16%
Overall 73.4% / 26.6%

Match Centre

8 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
17 Total Shots 10
4 Blocked Shots 1
12 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 3
11 Fouls 17
8 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 0
70% Ball Possession 30%
2 Yellow Cards 6
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
540 Total passes 230
455 Passes accurate 144
84% Passes % 63%
2.08 expected_goals 0.58
0.20 goals_prevented 0.20
22' ⚽ Away
46' 🔁 Home
46' 🔁 Home
48' 🟨 Home
49' 🟨 Home
53' 🟨 Away
55' 🟨 Away
59' 🔁 Home
59' 🔁 Home
59' 🔁 Away
59' 🔁 Away
63' 🟨 Away
68' ⚽ Home
71' 🟨 Away
75' ⚽ Home
81' 🔁 Away
82' 🔁 Away
87' 🟨 Away
87' 🟨 Away
88' 🔁 Away
89' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Riga 5/6
Super Nova 4/6

Over 2.5

Riga 2/6
Super Nova 4/6

Over 3.5

Riga 1/6
Super Nova 1/6

BTTS (Yes)

Riga 4/6
Super Nova 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Riga

4
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
46-60
5
61-75
76+

Super Nova

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Riga

First goal scored: 32' First goal conceded: 46' First card: 46'

Super Nova

First goal scored: 14' First goal conceded: 49' First card: 42'

Season Statistics

RigaSuper Nova
Form
LWWWDWWWDWWWDWWWWWWDWWWWWDLDDWWW
LDWWWLLLWLLDWWLLLDLLWLWLDDWWLLWL
Played3232
Wins2311
Draws75
Losses216
Goals for (avg)2.81
Goals against (avg)0.91.4
Clean sheets148
Failed to score19
Biggest win streak63

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Riga

Total shots 19.3
Blocked 4.7
53% off target 47% on target
65% inside box 35% outside box
Total passes 573.3
Accurate passes 495 (58%)
Possession 67%

Super Nova

Total shots 6.5
Blocked 1
58% off target 42% on target
65% inside box 35% outside box
Total passes 256.8
Accurate passes 196.5 (36%)
Possession 35%

Trends

6 match streak · Virsliga

Super Nova have conceded in each of their last 6 matches in Virsliga.

4 match streak · Virsliga

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Super Nova's last 4 matches in Virsliga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Riga

H · 5 Nov

FK Jablonec

Unrated

H · 8 Nov

Rīgas FS

5/5

A · 20 Nov

Auda

4/5

A · 26 Nov

Kauno Žalgiris

Unrated

H · 10 Dec

Atalanta

Unrated

A · 17 Dec

Borac Banja Luka

Unrated

Super Nova

A · 1 Nov

FK Liepaja

3/5

H · 8 Nov

BFC Daugavpils

4/5

Riga vs Super Nova Prediction & Tips

Riga took on Super Nova in the Latvia Virsliga. Riga had won 23 and drawn 7 of their 32 league games this season, while Super Nova have 11 wins and 5 draws from 32.

Our model favoured Riga as the more likely side (50% home, 50% draw, 0% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 3, with both teams to score rated at 53.8%. The published tip for this match was Over 2.5 at a 78% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Riga vs Super Nova FAQs

When did the match between Riga and Super Nova take place? +
The match between Riga and Super Nova took place on Sun, 18th Oct 2026 at 2:00 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Latvia Virsliga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Riga are 2nd on the table, while Super Nova are 6th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Riga vs Super Nova Prediction & Match Preview

League: Latvia : Virsliga

Date: Sun, Oct 18th 2026

Venue: Skonto stadions,