VictorsPredict

Arsenal Vs Leeds

Arsenal Vs Leeds Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Premier League

Arsenal

2 : 1 FT

Oct 10th

Leeds
Prediction Odds Confidence
Home 1.53
WON

Arsenal: Matches Played 10

WWWWL
W

8 Wins

In last 10 games

L

1 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Leeds: Matches Played 10

WDDWD
W

3 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

5 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.40
45% 4.40
10% 7.00

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
31 January 2026 • Premier League
W
Leeds
0 4
Arsenal
23 August 2025 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
5 0
Leeds
1 April 2023 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
4 1
Leeds
16 October 2022 • Premier League
W
Leeds
0 1
Arsenal
8 May 2022 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
2 1
Leeds
18 December 2021 • Premier League
W
Leeds
1 4
Arsenal
26 October 2021 • League Cup
W
Arsenal
2 0
Leeds
14 February 2021 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
4 2
Leeds
22 November 2020 • Premier League
D
Leeds
0 0
Arsenal
Last Matches (Arsenal)
1 November 2026 • Premier League
W
Liverpool
0 1
Arsenal
24 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
2 0
Everton
21 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League
D
Bayern München
2 2
Arsenal
18 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Nottingham Forest
0 1
Arsenal
13 October 2026 • UEFA Champions League
W
Arsenal
3 0
Lille
10 October 2026 • Premier League
W
Arsenal
2 1
Leeds
19 September 2026 • Premier League
L
Brighton
3 0
Arsenal
15 September 2026 • League Cup
W
Ipswich
2 4
Arsenal
12 September 2026 • Premier League
W
Sunderland
0 2
Arsenal
9 September 2026 • UEFA Champions League
W
Napoli
0 1
Arsenal
Last Matches (Leeds)
25 October 2026 • Premier League
D
Sunderland
0 0
Leeds
18 October 2026 • Premier League
D
Leeds
1 1
Manchester United
10 October 2026 • Premier League
L
Arsenal
2 1
Leeds
20 September 2026 • Premier League
D
Leeds
0 0
Crystal Palace
14 September 2026 • Premier League
W
Leeds
4 1
Newcastle
9 September 2026 • League Cup
L
Chelsea
6 3
Leeds
5 September 2026 • Premier League
D
Brighton
1 1
Leeds
30 August 2026 • Premier League
D
Leeds
1 1
Brentford
25 August 2026 • League Cup
W
Nottingham Forest
0 2
Leeds
22 August 2026 • Premier League
W
Nottingham Forest
0 1
Leeds

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
Arsenal
9 8 0 1 14-5 9 24
WWWWL
2
Manchester City
9 7 0 2 20-10 10 21
LLWWW
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 24-7 17 19
WLWWW
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 19-15 4 16
WLWWL
5
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 11-9 2 15
LWWLW
6
Brentford
9 3 5 1 16-9 7 14
WDLDW
7
Everton
9 3 4 2 9-9 0 13
WLLDW
8
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 14-13 1 12
WWWLL
9
Tottenham
9 3 3 3 10-10 0 12
WWWDL
10
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 10-13 -3 12
DWWDW
11
Hull City
9 2 5 2 11-10 1 11
DDLDL
12
Leeds
9 2 5 2 9-8 1 11
LDDLD
13
Newcastle
9 3 2 4 12-15 -3 11
LWLLW
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 14-18 -4 11
DDLWL
15
Fulham
9 2 3 4 9-11 -2 9
DWWLD
16
Coventry
9 3 0 6 9-16 -7 9
WLLWW
17
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 10-15 -5 7
LLDDD
18
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 9-21 -12 7
LLLWD
19
Nottingham Forest
9 1 3 5 6-12 -6 6
LDLLL
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 7-17 -10 5
LDLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals
E. Haaland
Manchester City
9 9
A. Isak
Liverpool
8 6
João Pedro
Chelsea
6 5
M. Rogers
Chelsea
9 5
B. White
Arsenal
1 0
M. Tavernier
Bournemouth
9 5
G. Hamer
Coventry
1 0
N. Jackson
Aston Villa
8 5
P. Hincapié
Arsenal
1 0
Evanilson
Bournemouth
9 4
R. Cherki
Manchester City
8 4
E. Eze
Arsenal
1 0
Mikel Merino
Arsenal
1 0
T. Barry
Everton
9 4
B. Mbeumo
Manchester United
9 4
J. Rudoni
Coventry
1 0
N. Angulo
Sunderland
1 1
T. Awoniyi
Coventry
1 0
C. Kostoulas
Brighton
9 3
Martín Zubimendi
Arsenal
1 0
M. Belloumi
Hull City
9 3
Pedro Neto
Chelsea
9 3
N. Madueke
Arsenal
1 0
N. Mendy
Hull City
2 1
D. Ndoye
Nottingham Forest
2 1
V. Torp
Coventry
1 0
D. Calvert-Lewin
Leeds
9 3
K. Havertz
Arsenal
9 3
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi
Coventry
1 0
M. Kayode
Brentford
1 1
V. Janelt
Brentford
5 2
J. Enciso
Ipswich
1 0
Víctor Muñoz
Liverpool
3 1
C. Akpom
Ipswich
2 1
K. Schade
Brentford
9 3
D. Rice
Arsenal
1 0
J. Bogle
Leeds
4 2
S. Ajayi
Hull City
2 1
M. Sangaré
Brentford
1 0
Y. Wissa
Newcastle
3 1
A. Scott
Bournemouth
2 1
R. Calafiori
Arsenal
1 0
B. Thomas-Asante
Coventry
1 0
Y. Ayari
Brighton
8 3
C. Gakpo
Liverpool
3 1
L. Davis
Ipswich
5 2
T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
4 2
E. Simms
Coventry
1 0
B. Brobbey
Sunderland
7 3
J. Clarke
Ipswich
2 1
K. Dewsbury-Hall
Everton
2 1
K. Lewis-Potter
Brentford
3 1
H. Armstrong
Everton
1 0
M. De Cuyper
Brighton
6 2
Bruno Fernandes
Manchester United
7 3
W. Isidor
Sunderland
2 1
M. Yalcouyé
Brighton
5 2
Joshua King
Fulham
4 2
M. Ødegaard
Arsenal
5 2
C. Tzolis
Arsenal
1 0
J. Manzambi
Aston Villa
4 2
A. Stach
Leeds
1 1
I. Ndiaye
Everton
1 0
J. Hinshelwood
Brighton
4 3
A. Elanga
Newcastle
3 2
M. Guéhi
Manchester City
2 1
C. Palmer
Chelsea
9 3
L. Millar
Hull City
2 1
J. Ramsey
Newcastle
3 1
B. Saka
Arsenal
7 3
L. Tchaouna
Coventry
1 0
P. Groß
Brighton
9 3
A. Semenyo
Manchester City
7 2
Emersonn
Ipswich
7 2
R. Slater
Hull City
1 0
J. Willock
Newcastle
5 2
J. Gvardiol
Manchester City
3 1

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.2

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals88.9%11.1%
1.5 goals64.5%35.5%
2.5 goals37.7%62.3%
3.5 goals18.1%81.9%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Arsenal

Advice: Combo Double chance : Arsenal or draw and -3.5 goals

Expected goals: 2.2

Form 57% / 43%
Attack 53% / 47%
Defence 43% / 57%
Poisson 68% / 32%
Head-to-head 100% / 0%
Goals 89% / 11%
Overall 62% / 38%

Match Centre

2.66 expected_goals 0.74
437 Passes accurate 281
8 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Blocked Shots 3
19 Free Kicks 12
6 Shots on Goal 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
4 Shots off Goal 3
7 Offsides 4
512 Total passes 356
13 Total Shots 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
3 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 20
0 Red Cards 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
36' 🟨 Away
38' 🟨 Away
39' 🟨 Away
55' ⚽ Away
59' 🟨 Away
62' ⚽ Home
63' 🔁 Home
63' 🔁 Home
63' 🔁 Home
70' ⚽ Home
71' 🔁 Away
71' 🔁 Away
78' 🟨 Away
79' 🔁 Away
82' 🔁 Home
84' 🟨 Home
86' 🔁 Away
86' 🔁 Away
90' 🔁 Home

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Arsenal 4/6
Leeds 4/6

Over 2.5

Arsenal 3/6
Leeds 3/6

Over 3.5

Arsenal 1/6
Leeds 2/6

BTTS (Yes)

Arsenal 2/6
Leeds 4/6

Goals By Time Period

Arsenal

1
0-15
2
16-30
31-45
46-60
6
61-75
2
76+

Leeds

0-15
1
16-30
3
31-45
4
46-60
1
61-75
76+

Average Event Minute

Arsenal

First goal scored: 42' First goal conceded: 45' First card: 49'

Leeds

First goal scored: 40' First goal conceded: 60' First card: 33'

Season Statistics

ArsenalLeeds
Form
WWWWL
WDDWD
Played55
Wins42
Draws03
Losses10
Goals for (avg)1.61.4
Goals against (avg)0.80.6
Clean sheets32
Failed to score11
Biggest win streak41

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Arsenal

Total shots 13.5
Blocked 4.7
50% off target 50% on target
65% inside box 35% outside box
Total passes 504.3
Accurate passes 432.8
Possession 58%

Leeds

Total shots 13.3
Blocked 4.3
49% off target 51% on target
72% inside box 28% outside box
Total passes 434.8
Accurate passes 350.2 (40%)
Possession 51%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Arsenal

A · 4 Nov

Slavia Praha

Unrated

H · 7 Nov

Hull City

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Newcastle

2/5

H · 24 Nov

Borussia Dortmund

Unrated

H · 29 Nov

Manchester City

5/5

A · 2 Dec

Brentford

4/5

A · 5 Dec

Tottenham

3/5

H · 9 Dec

Real Madrid

Unrated

Leeds

A · 31 Oct

Bournemouth

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Tottenham

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Chelsea

4/5

H · 28 Nov

Coventry

2/5

A · 2 Dec

Manchester City

5/5

H · 5 Dec

Ipswich

2/5

A · 12 Dec

Liverpool

4/5

H · 19 Dec

Fulham

2/5

Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction & Tips

Arsenal took on Leeds in the England Premier League. Arsenal had won 4 and drawn 0 of their 5 league games this season, while Leeds have 2 wins and 3 draws from 5.

Our model favoured Arsenal as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.2, with both teams to score rated at 44.5%. The published tip for this match was Home at a 65% win probability.

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Published by

Pá Vick

Football Analyst & Predictor

Arsenal vs Leeds FAQs

When did the match between Arsenal and Leeds take place? +
The match between Arsenal and Leeds took place on Sat, 10th Oct 2026 at 12:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
England Premier League
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Arsenal are 1st on the table, while Leeds are 12th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction & Match Preview

League: England : Premier League

Date: Sat, Oct 10th 2026

Venue: Emirates Stadium, London