Arouca Vs Nacional
Arouca Vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips
Primeira Liga

1 : 0 FT
Nov 1st
NacionalArouca: Matches Played 10
6 Wins
In last 10 games
2 Losses
In last 10 games
2 Draws
In last 10 games
Nacional: Matches Played 10
2 Wins
In last 10 games
7 Losses
In last 10 games
1 Draws
In last 10 games
Teams Head to Head Matches
H2H
Arouca
Nacional
Nacional
Arouca
Arouca
Nacional
Nacional
Arouca
Arouca
Nacional
Last Matches (Arouca)
Alverca
Arouca
Sporting CP
Arouca
Estoril
Arouca
FC Porto
Arouca
Vitória SC
Lusitânia Lourosa
Last Matches (Nacional)
Nacional
Sanjoanense
Rio Ave
Nacional
Nacional
Sporting CP
Nacional
Vitória SC
Nacional
Santa Clara
League Table
FC Porto
Benfica
Sporting CP
Santa Clara
Arouca
Academico Viseu
GIL Vicente
SC Braga
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Estrela
Vitória SC
Maritimo
Nacional
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
EstorilTop Scorers Table
No top scorers yet.
Betting Markets & Predictions
Model expected goals: 2.6
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 goals | 92.6% | 7.4% |
| 1.5 goals | 73.3% | 26.7% |
| 2.5 goals | 48.2% | 51.8% |
| 3.5 goals | 26.4% | 73.6% |
Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
1X
78.3%
12
75.5%
X2
46.2%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
1 / 1
33.3%
1 / X
4.6%
1 / 2
1.3%
X / 1
17.9%
X / X
15.3%
X / 2
8.4%
2 / 1
2.6%
2 / X
4.6%
2 / 2
11.9%
Home -1.25
36.3%
odds 2.60
Away -1.25
63.7%
odds 1.48
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.5
52.1%
odds 1.82
Under 9.5
47.9%
odds 1.98
Implied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.5
73.7%
odds 1.27
Under 3.5
26.3%
odds 3.55
Implied from Betano odds.
Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (margin included, not devigged across players).
Model Comparison
Predicted winner: Arouca
Advice: Winner : Arouca
Expected goals: 2.6
Recent Goal Lines
Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS (Yes)
Goals By Time Period
Arouca
Nacional
Average Event Minute
Arouca
Nacional
Season Statistics
| Arouca | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Form | WWLWDLDWW | DWLLLLLLW |
| Played | 9 | 9 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0.8 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win streak | 2 | 1 |
Shots & Passes
Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.
Arouca
Nacional
Trends
3 match streak · Primeira Liga
Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primeira Liga.
4 match streak · Primeira Liga
Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primeira Liga.
Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty
Arouca
H · 1 Nov
Nacional
2/5A · 6 Nov
Famalicao
3/5A · 21 Nov
Mafra
UnratedH · 28 Nov
Rio Ave
1/5A · 6 Dec
SC Braga
3/5A · 13 Dec
Academico Viseu
4/5H · 20 Dec
Casa Pia
1/5A · 27 Dec
GIL Vicente
4/5Nacional
A · 1 Nov
Arouca
4/5H · 7 Nov
Academico Viseu
4/5A · 27 Nov
Maritimo
2/5H · 6 Dec
Benfica
5/5A · 13 Dec
Casa Pia
1/5H · 20 Dec
Moreirense
3/5A · 27 Dec
FC Porto
5/5H · 10 Jan
GIL Vicente
4/5Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Tips
Arouca took on Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Arouca had won 5 and drawn 2 of their 9 league games this season, while Nacional have 2 wins and 1 draws from 9.
Our model favoured Arouca as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 49.5%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 81% win probability.
Published by
Victor Moses
Football Analyst & Predictor
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Match Preview
Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Match Preview
League: Portugal : Primeira Liga
Date: Sun, Nov 1st 2026
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca,