VictorsPredict

Arouca Vs Nacional

Arouca Vs Nacional Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Primeira Liga

Arouca

1 : 0 FT

Nov 1st

Nacional
Prediction Odds Confidence
1X 1.23
WON

Arouca: Matches Played 10

DLDWW
W

6 Wins

In last 10 games

L

2 Losses

In last 10 games

D

2 Draws

In last 10 games

Nacional: Matches Played 10

LLLLW
W

2 Wins

In last 10 games

L

7 Losses

In last 10 games

D

1 Draws

In last 10 games

Home Draw Away
45% 1.75
45% 3.60
10% 4.20

Teams Head to Head Matches

H2H
21 February 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
3 0
Nacional
20 September 2025 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 2
Arouca
1 February 2025 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 2
Arouca
25 August 2024 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
1 0
Nacional
6 May 2018 • Segunda Liga
L
Arouca
0 1
Nacional
22 December 2017 • Segunda Liga
D
Nacional
2 2
Arouca
28 January 2017 • Primeira Liga
D
Nacional
1 1
Arouca
21 August 2016 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
2 0
Nacional
1 May 2016 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
3 0
Nacional
2 January 2016 • Primeira Liga
D
Nacional
2 2
Arouca
Last Matches (Arouca)
24 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Alverca
0 1
Arouca
11 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
1 0
Estrela
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Sporting CP
2 2
Arouca
13 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Arouca
1 2
Santa Clara
7 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Estoril
0 0
Arouca
29 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
2 1
Maritimo
23 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
FC Porto
2 0
Arouca
16 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Arouca
4 0
Moreirense
8 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Vitória SC
0 1
Arouca
1 August 2026 • Friendlies Clubs
W
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 2
Arouca
Last Matches (Nacional)
25 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
1 0
SC Braga
17 October 2026 • Taça de Portugal
L
Sanjoanense
1 0
Nacional
11 October 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Rio Ave
3 2
Nacional
19 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
0 4
Famalicao
12 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
1 3
Alverca
5 September 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Sporting CP
2 0
Nacional
30 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Nacional
2 3
Estrela
23 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
L
Vitória SC
1 0
Nacional
16 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
W
Nacional
2 0
Estoril
10 August 2026 • Primeira Liga
D
Santa Clara
2 2
Nacional

League Table

# Team GP W D L G GD P Form
1
FC Porto
10 10 0 0 25-4 21 30
WWWWW
2
Benfica
9 7 1 1 26-8 18 22
WWLWW
3
Sporting CP
10 6 3 1 23-11 12 21
WLWDD
4
Santa Clara
10 6 3 1 15-6 9 21
WLWDW
5
Arouca
10 6 2 2 13-7 6 20
WWWDL
6
Academico Viseu
10 6 2 2 15-12 3 20
WWWWW
7
GIL Vicente
9 4 2 3 8-7 1 14
LWWDL
8
SC Braga
10 4 2 4 12-11 1 14
WLLLD
9
Moreirense
10 4 2 4 13-17 -4 14
WWLDW
10
Alverca
9 3 2 4 13-13 0 11
LWWWL
11
Famalicao
10 2 4 4 14-14 0 10
LWLWD
12
Estrela
10 2 4 4 15-19 -4 10
LLLLD
13
Vitória SC
9 2 2 5 10-10 0 8
WLDLD
14
Maritimo
10 2 2 6 9-21 -12 8
LLLDL
15
Nacional
10 2 1 7 10-19 -9 7
LWLLL
16
Rio Ave
10 2 1 7 9-23 -14 7
LLWLD
17
Casa Pia
10 2 1 7 5-19 -14 7
LWLWL
18
Estoril
10 0 2 8 5-19 -14 2
LLLLL
See Full Table

Top Scorers Table

Player Names Matches Goals

No top scorers yet.

Betting Markets & Predictions

Model expected goals: 2.6

LineOverUnder
0.5 goals92.6%7.4%
1.5 goals73.3%26.7%
2.5 goals48.2%51.8%
3.5 goals26.4%73.6%

Model estimate from each team's season scoring and conceding rates.

Model Comparison

Predicted winner: Arouca

Advice: Winner : Arouca

Expected goals: 2.6

Form 73% / 27%
Attack 56% / 44%
Defence 75% / 25%
Poisson 86% / 14%
Head-to-head 80% / 20%
Goals 73% / 27%
Overall 73.8% / 26.2%

Recent Goal Lines

Hit-rate over each team's last 6 matches.

Over 1.5

Arouca 3/6
Nacional 4/6

Over 2.5

Arouca 3/6
Nacional 3/6

Over 3.5

Arouca 1/6
Nacional 3/6

BTTS (Yes)

Arouca 3/6
Nacional 2/6

Goals By Time Period

Arouca

1
0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
2
46-60
61-75
2
76+

Nacional

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
61-75
1
76+

Average Event Minute

Arouca

First goal scored: 40' First goal conceded: 17' First card: 53'

Nacional

First goal scored: 44' First goal conceded: 39' First card: 46'

Season Statistics

AroucaNacional
Form
WWLWDLDWW
DWLLLLLLW
Played99
Wins52
Draws21
Losses26
Goals for (avg)1.31.1
Goals against (avg)0.82
Clean sheets52
Failed to score23
Biggest win streak21

Shots & Passes

Per-game averages over the last 6 matches.

Arouca

Total shots 13
Blocked 2.3
61% off target 39% on target
52% inside box 48% outside box
Total passes 492
Accurate passes 424.5 (43%)
Possession 54%

Nacional

Total shots 9.8
Blocked 1.4
60% off target 40% on target
61% inside box 39% outside box
Total passes 366
Accurate passes 292.8 (16%)
Possession 44%

Trends

3 match streak · Primeira Liga

Arouca are unbeaten in their last 3 matches in Primeira Liga.

4 match streak · Primeira Liga

Arouca have scored in each of their last 4 matches in Primeira Liga.

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Arouca

H · 1 Nov

Nacional

2/5

A · 6 Nov

Famalicao

3/5

A · 21 Nov

Mafra

Unrated

H · 28 Nov

Rio Ave

1/5

A · 6 Dec

SC Braga

3/5

A · 13 Dec

Academico Viseu

4/5

H · 20 Dec

Casa Pia

1/5

A · 27 Dec

GIL Vicente

4/5

Nacional

A · 1 Nov

Arouca

4/5

H · 7 Nov

Academico Viseu

4/5

A · 27 Nov

Maritimo

2/5

H · 6 Dec

Benfica

5/5

A · 13 Dec

Casa Pia

1/5

H · 20 Dec

Moreirense

3/5

A · 27 Dec

FC Porto

5/5

H · 10 Jan

GIL Vicente

4/5

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Tips

Arouca took on Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga. Arouca had won 5 and drawn 2 of their 9 league games this season, while Nacional have 2 wins and 1 draws from 9.

Our model favoured Arouca as the more likely side (45% home, 45% draw, 10% away). Expected goals for the game come out around 2.6, with both teams to score rated at 49.5%. The published tip for this match was 1X at a 81% win probability.

V

Published by

Victor Moses

Football Analyst & Predictor

Arouca vs Nacional FAQs

When did the match between Arouca and Nacional take place? +
The match between Arouca and Nacional took place on Sun, 1st Nov 2026 at 4:30 PM.
Which league is this match in? +
Portugal Primeira Liga
What is their ranking in the league table this season? +
Arouca are 5th on the table, while Nacional are 15th.
How accurate was the prediction for this match? +
The prediction for this match was based on statistical analysis and the available football data.
Was the prediction for this match 100% guaranteed? +
Of course not. There is no way to predict football matches with a 100% guarantee. The result can still be unpredictable despite all the analysis, statistics, and data behind it. Check the win probability shown for this match above and be guided by our disclaimer.
How often are predictions updated? +
Predictions are updated regularly as new matches and relevant information become available.

Match Preview

Arouca vs Nacional Prediction & Match Preview

League: Portugal : Primeira Liga

Date: Sun, Nov 1st 2026

Venue: Estádio Municipal de Arouca,